Resources Repository
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BookPublication 2010Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
This book explores the “hidden forces” that shape decisions as an argument against the common …
This book explores the “hidden forces” that shape decisions as an argument against the common assumption that people act in fundamentally rational ways. From drinking coffee to losing weight, people consistently overpay, underestimate, and procrastinate. Ariely shows that such misguided behaviors are systematic and predictable or “predictably irrational.”
Education/Labor | Business/Industry | Decision Psychology | Culture/Society | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology -
BookPublication 2007Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications
Decision analysis consists of a prescriptive theory and associated models and tools that aid individuals …
Decision analysis consists of a prescriptive theory and associated models and tools that aid individuals or groups confronted with complex decision problems in a wide variety of contexts. Decision analysis can be applied to the environment, health and medicine, engineering, public policy, and business. This book reviews and extends the material typically presented in introductory texts on decision analysis. It covers the broad scope of decision analysis at an advanced level and includes chapters written by…
Government/Law | Business/Industry | Decision Theory | Probability/Bayes | Preferences/Values | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Value of Information | Mathematical Models | Decision Analysis | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine -
ReviewPublication 1982Decision Analysis: An Overview
This article, written for the non-decision analyst, describes what decision analysis is, what it can …
This article, written for the non-decision analyst, describes what decision analysis is, what it can and cannot do, why one should care to do this, and how one does it. Keeney describes decision analysis as "a formalization of common sense for decision problems which are too complex for informal use of common sense." He provides a more technical definition also, describing decision analysis as "a philosophy, articulated by a set of logical axioms, and a methodology…
Government/Law | Business/Industry | Decision Theory | Preferences/Values | Decision Analysis | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance | Energy/Engineering | Health/Medicine | Military/Defense | Science/Technology -
Teaching PackWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2023Teaching Pack: Heuristics with Joe Pliskin
This teaching pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, features videos introducing heuristics …
This teaching pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, features videos introducing heuristics used in decision making. While these “mental shortcuts” can be useful in some circumstances, they can lead to more errors than deliberate, rational thinking. An awareness of these heuristics is useful to decision makers. This series of videos on heuristics was developed by Professor Joe Pliskin during his residency with the CHDS Media Hub led by Jake Waxman. They reflect…
Business/Industry | Decision Theory | Decision Psychology | Probability/Bayes | Preferences/Values | Chronic Disease/Risk | Clinical Care | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy -
ArticlePublication 1984Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making under Uncertainty
Prescribed fires are fires that are started under controlled conditions. This is an important strategy …
Prescribed fires are fires that are started under controlled conditions. This is an important strategy used by professionals in modern forest management. Designing, planning, and executing strategies that rely on prescribed fires is challenging because of multiple uncertainties (e.g., weather, fire behavior, etc.). In this paper, decision analysis techniques are used to evaluate prescribed fire decisions in three national forest case study applications.
Climate/Environment | Decision Analysis | Environmental Health -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making under Uncertainty
This self-directed tutorial is for a decision analytic model related to the execution and management …
This self-directed tutorial is for a decision analytic model related to the execution and management of prescribed burns within forests. This tutorial builds upon the work of the publication: Cohan D, Haas SM, Radloff DL, Yancik RF. Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making Under Uncertainty. Interfaces 1984; 14 (5): 8-19. Not open access. About the Alan Colowick Innovation Fund The case-based tutorials in this teaching pack were created with support from the CHDS Alan Colowick…
Climate/Environment | Mathematical Models | Decision Analysis | Environmental Health | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2023Cognitive Theory of Multimedia Learning
The cognitive theory of multimedia learning (CTML) draws together various theories of learning and cognition …
The cognitive theory of multimedia learning (CTML) draws together various theories of learning and cognition and applies them to the process of learning through multimedia instruction. At its core, the theory asserts that people learn more effectively from words and graphics than from words alone. While numerous investigators have contributed to this work, we have found Mayer’s (2009) empirically derived principles of multimedia design to be the most relevant and useful for instructional designers and…
Education/Labor | Culture/Society | Science/Technology | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Graphics/Visualization | Instructional Design | Pedagogy -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2023Cognitive Load Theory: Learning & Instructional Design
How do we process new information and construct knowledge in our brains? What does “working …
How do we process new information and construct knowledge in our brains? What does “working memory” have to do with learning? What is cognitive load theory and how does it inform the design of learning experiences and educational materials? Cognitive load theory (CLT) is a theory of learning that is based on what we know about how learners process new information in working memory and construct knowledge in long-term memory. In this basic primer, we…
Education/Labor | Culture/Society | Science/Technology | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Graphics/Visualization | Instructional Design | Pedagogy -
Brief/PerspectivePublication, Teaching Resource 2021Using a Visual Tool to Map the Learning Ecosystem
A well-designed course should include a series of learning experiences – leveraging different modalities - …
A well-designed course should include a series of learning experiences – leveraging different modalities - that allow the learning process to extend across time, provide students opportunities to engage in a variety of diverse activities, and scaffolding to achieve learning objectives. Engaging in deliberative process to map the “course ecosystem” promotes thinking about how to create and curate “learning experiences” rather than the traditional “developing a lecture, selecting a reading list, and assigning homework.” The CHDS…
Education/Labor | Culture/Society | Health/Medicine | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Instructional Design | Pedagogy