Resources Repository
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Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2011“Eating Bacon Sandwiches is Bad for You!” Evaluating Risk
This packet of lessons on evaluating risk contains videos, activities, worksheets, notes, and answers on …
This packet of lessons on evaluating risk contains videos, activities, worksheets, notes, and answers on analyzing statistical data. Using mathematics, these exercises engage students by tackling real world issues in health decision-making, such as the risk of eating bacon sandwiches. These activities are recommended to be used together but can also be used independently. They are aimed at a high school learning level and higher.
Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | High School | College | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2011Epidemics: Modelling with Mathematics
This learning module explores mathematically modeling disease epidemics. Through video clips, Dr. Julia Gog and …
This learning module explores mathematically modeling disease epidemics. Through video clips, Dr. Julia Gog and Dr. Andrew Conlan explain simple mathematical models for how disease spreads through populations, and how these models can be built upon for more complex modelling. These models can be used to predict epidemics, and in turn, help to mitigate their risks. Related resources, such as activities, worksheets, and presentations, are available to help students investigate mathematical modelling. These activities are…
Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | Infectious Diseases | Science/Technology | Global | High School | College | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership -
ReviewPublication 2011Dynamic Microsimulation Models for Health Outcomes: A Review
This review article presents an overview of microsimulation modeling, focusing on the development and application …
This review article presents an overview of microsimulation modeling, focusing on the development and application of these models for health policy questions. Microsimulation models for health outcomes simulate individual event histories associated with key components of a disease process; these simulated life histories can be aggregated to estimate population-level effects of treatment on disease outcomes and the comparative effectiveness of treatments. The authors argue that methodological improvements in modeling approaches have been slowed by the…
Health/Medicine | Health Outcomes | Microsimulation | Calibration/Validation -
GuidelinesPublication 2011Calibrating Models in Economic Evaluation
This article provides guidance on the theoretical underpinnings of different calibration methods used for mathematical …
This article provides guidance on the theoretical underpinnings of different calibration methods used for mathematical models for economic evaluations. The calibration process is divided into seven steps and different potential methods at each step are discussed, focusing on the particular features of disease models in economic evaluation. The seven steps are (i) Which parameters should be varied in the calibration process? (ii) Which calibration targets should be used? (iii) What measure of goodness of fit…
Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation -
ArticlePublication 2010Clinical Benefits, Costs, and Cost-Effectiveness of Neonatal Intensive Care in Mexico
This article reports on a study to estimate the clinical outcomes, costs, and cost-effectiveness of …
This article reports on a study to estimate the clinical outcomes, costs, and cost-effectiveness of neonatal intensive care in Mexico. The authors conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis using a decision analytic model of health and economic outcomes following preterm birth. Model parameters governing health outcomes were estimated from Mexican vital registration and hospital discharge databases, supplemented with meta-analyses and systematic reviews from the published literature. Costs were estimated on the basis of data provided by the…
Health/Medicine | State-Transition | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Health Systems | Clinical Care | Latin America & Caribbean -
ArticlePublication 2010Health and Economic Impact of Rotavirus Vaccination in GAVI-Eligible Countries
Rotavirus infection is responsible for about 500,000 deaths annually, and the disease burden is disproportionately …
Rotavirus infection is responsible for about 500,000 deaths annually, and the disease burden is disproportionately borne by children in low-income countries. Motivated by the global recommendation by the WHO that all countries include infant rotavirus vaccination in their national immunization programs, the objective of this analysis was to provide information on the expected health, economic and financial consequences of rotavirus vaccines in the 72 GAVI support-eligible countries. The authors synthesized population-level data from various sources (primarily from…
Health/Medicine | Health Outcomes | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Child/Nutrition | Economics/Finance | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2010Model Uncertainty in Economic Evaluation of Health Interventions: Rotavirus Vaccination in Vietnam
Motivated by observed discrepancies between 2 published studies on the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in …
Motivated by observed discrepancies between 2 published studies on the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in Vietnam, the authors' objectives were to illustrate a specific, systematic approach to assessing model (structure and process) uncertainty and to quantify explicitly the contributions of different sources of variation in the outputs of different studies that share the same research question. On the basis of a series of working definitions of key model elements, the authors developed 5 alternative computer…
Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Calibration/Validation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Economics/Finance | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2010Cost-Effectiveness of Alternative Pregnancy Termination Strategies in Nigeria and Ghana
To explore the policy implications of increasing access to safe abortion in Nigeria and Ghana, …
To explore the policy implications of increasing access to safe abortion in Nigeria and Ghana, the authors developed a computer-based decision analytic model which simulates induced abortion and its potential complications in a cohort of women. The model was used to compare the costs and benefits of unsafe abortion and three first-trimester abortion modalities: hospital-based dilatation and curettage, hospital- and clinic-based manual vacuum aspiration (MVA), and medical abortion using misoprostol (MA). The results showed that…
Health/Medicine | State-Transition | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Culture/Society | Economics/Finance | Sub-Saharan Africa -
BookPublication 2010Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
This book explores the “hidden forces” that shape decisions as an argument against the common …
This book explores the “hidden forces” that shape decisions as an argument against the common assumption that people act in fundamentally rational ways. From drinking coffee to losing weight, people consistently overpay, underestimate, and procrastinate. Ariely shows that such misguided behaviors are systematic and predictable or “predictably irrational.”
Health/Medicine | Decision Psychology | Business/Industry | Culture/Society | Economics/Finance | Education/Labor | Science/Technology