Resources Repository
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Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2017Bayesian Methods for Calibrating Health Policy Models: A Tutorial
This article provides a tutorial on Bayesian approaches for model calibration. It describes the theoretical …
This article provides a tutorial on Bayesian approaches for model calibration. It describes the theoretical basis for Bayesian calibration approaches as well as pragmatic considerations that arise in the tasks of creating calibration targets, estimating the posterior distribution, and obtaining results to inform the policy decision. These considerations, as well as the specific steps for implementing the calibration, are described in the context of an extended worked example about the policy choice to provide (or…
Calibration/Validation | Infectious Diseases | Health/Medicine -
ArticlePublication 2017Using Data-Driven Agent-Based Models to Forecast Emerging Infectious Diseases
This paper describes an agent-based model framework developed to forecast the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, which …
This paper describes an agent-based model framework developed to forecast the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, which was subsequently used in the Ebola forecasting challenge. Producing timely and reliable forecasts for an epidemic of an emerging infectious disease is a challenge. Epidemiologists and policy makers have to deal with poor data quality, limited understanding of the disease dynamics, a rapidly changing social environment and the uncertainty around the effects of various interventions in place. In this setting,…
Calibration/Validation | Microsimulation | Dynamic Simulation | Infectious Diseases | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ReviewPublication 2017Validation and Calibration of Structural Models that Combine Information from Multiple Sources
This is a review of calibration and validation methods in mathematical modeling. Such models that …
This is a review of calibration and validation methods in mathematical modeling. Such models that attempt to capture structural relationships between their components and combine information from multiple sources are increasingly used in medicine. The authors provide an overview of methods for model validation and calibration and survey studies comparing alternative approaches. Model validation entails a confrontation of models with data, background knowledge, and other models, and can inform judgments about model credibility. Calibration involves…
Calibration/Validation | Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine -
ArticlePublication 2017Designing an Optimal HIV Programme for South Africa
This 2017 study compares the traditional and a novel method of comparing cost-effectiveness interventions in …
This 2017 study compares the traditional and a novel method of comparing cost-effectiveness interventions in the context of HIV in South Africa, using a modeling approach. The authors argue that the assumptions of a) independence of interventions, and b) linear scale-up effects do not hold because South Africa has a large domestically funded HIV program with highly saturated coverage levels. The authors therefore aim to better allocate resources for HIV interventions in South Africa when…
Operations Research | Priority Setting/Ethics | Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Health Systems | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024CSIS
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) is a bipartisan, nonprofit policy research organization …
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) is a bipartisan, nonprofit policy research organization founded in 1962, and dedicated to providing strategic insights and policy solutions to help decision makers. CSIS is an international policy institution focused on defense and security; regional study; and transnational challenges ranging from energy and trade to global development and economic integration. CSIS is regularly called upon by Congress, the executive branch, and the media to explain the day’s…
Operations Research | Priority Setting/Ethics | Technology Assessment | Policy/Regulation | Global Governance | Business/Industry | Economics/Finance | Energy/Engineering | Military/Defense | Science/Technology | Global | North America -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024Operational Research Society
The Operational Research Society (ORS) was founded over 60 years ago as a successor to …
The Operational Research Society (ORS) was founded over 60 years ago as a successor to the Operations Research Club that had been set up in 1948. The UK’s OR Society is the oldest-established learned society catering to the Operational Research (O.R.) profession, and one of the largest in the world, with 2,700 members from 66 countries. Core activities of ORS include publishing journals to disseminate the latest developments in O.R., and organizing national, international and specialist conferences. The Journal…
Operations Research | Decision Analysis | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Military/Defense | Global -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024INFORMS
INFORMS is the leading international association for Operations Research & Analytics professionals. INFORMS publishes 16 …
INFORMS is the leading international association for Operations Research & Analytics professionals. INFORMS publishes 16 journals on topics ranging from decision analysis to management and marketing sciences and the INFORMS Resource Center offers information about O.R. and Analytics educational programs and material for students, faculty and others and offers a video library with on-demand access to key presentations from INFORMS meetings and conferences. They also offer a publication library bringing together recent publications across all of their…
Operations Research | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Energy/Engineering | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Global -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024IFORS
The International Federation of Operational Research Societies (IFORS) began in 1955, is composed of 50 …
The International Federation of Operational Research Societies (IFORS) began in 1955, is composed of 50 national societies, and promotes the development of operational research (OR) worldwide, both in methodology and practice. Activities include publications, conferences, website and newsletter, special programs for developing countries, an educational resource wiki containing lectures, books, videos and slideshows, and a distinguished lecture series. IFORS publishes two journals: International Transactions in Operational Research (ITOR), and International Abstracts in Operations Research (IAOR). ITOR…
Operations Research | Business/Industry | Global -
Tutorial/PrimerWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018OR-Notes
OR-Notes are a series of introductory notes on topics that fall under the broad heading …
OR-Notes are a series of introductory notes on topics that fall under the broad heading of the field of operations research (OR). They were developed and used by J E Beasley in an introductory OR course at Imperial College. He has made them available for use by any students and teachers interested in OR subject provided he is acknowledged and identified as their author. J E Beasley completed his PhD in Management Science at Imperial…
Operations Research | Business/Industry