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Brief/PerspectivePodcast, Teaching Resource 2014What the Odds Fail to Capture When a Health Crisis Hits
How well do we understand and act on probabilities that something will happen? A 30 …
How well do we understand and act on probabilities that something will happen? A 30 percent chance of this or an 80 percent chance of that? As it turns out, making decisions based on the odds can be an extremely difficult thing to do, even for people who study the science of how we make decisions. Brian Zikmund-Fisher teaches about risk and probability at the University of Michigan School of Public Health. Back in 1998, when he…
Decision Analysis | Probability/Bayes | Preferences/Values | Chronic Disease/Risk | Clinical Care | Culture/Society | Health/Medicine | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Quantitative Literacy -
GlossaryPublication, Teaching Resource 2022Glossary: Probability Revision and Bayes
This glossary of terms supports the teaching pack on Probability Revision and Bayes, in which students …
This glossary of terms supports the teaching pack on Probability Revision and Bayes, in which students are introduced to the implications of imperfect information, acquire a conceptual understanding of Bayes Theorem, and gain practical skills in performing probability revision. In addition to the glossary, materials include an instructor's note, videos, companion slides, an annotated bibliography, sample exercises, and additional support. Glossary of Terms Bayes' rule/Bayes formula Conditional probability Expected value False negatives (FN) False positives…
Decision Analysis | Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Environmental Health | Policy/Regulation | Climate/Environment | Health/Medicine | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
VideoMultimedia, Teaching Resource 2018Probabilities and Odds: Teaching Prototype
In this video, Professor Myriam Hunink emphasizes the importance of uncertainty in the context of …
In this video, Professor Myriam Hunink emphasizes the importance of uncertainty in the context of decision making in clinical medicine and health policy. Using the example of a 55-year-old woman with exertional chest pain, she poses the question, what is the chance, or probability, that she has underlying coronary artery disease, and how does that relate to our decision making process? Access the video. Probabilities and Odds: Teaching Prototype (~6 min) Students learn that odds and probability…
Decision Analysis | Probability/Bayes | Health/Medicine | North America | Europe | High School | College | Graduate | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy
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