Resources Repository
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GuidelinesPublication 2012Modeling Good Research Practices - Overview: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Task Force-1
This paper provides an overview of the work of the joint Task Force between the …
This paper provides an overview of the work of the joint Task Force between the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR) and the Society for Medical Decision Making (SMDM), provides the overarching recommendations, and discusses future work that is needed. The audience for these papers includes anyone who build models, stakeholders who utilize their results, and those concerned with the use of models to support decision making. This article is part 1 of…
Dynamic Simulation | Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Dynamic Transmission | State-Transition | Value of Information | Health/Medicine | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Decision Analysis | Infectious Diseases -
GuidelinesPublication 2012Modeling Using Discrete Event Simulation: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Task Force-4
This paper reports on consensus-based guidelines on the application of DES in a health care …
This paper reports on consensus-based guidelines on the application of DES in a health care setting, covering the range of issues to which DES can be applied. Discrete event simulation (DES) is a form of computer-based modeling that provides an intuitive and flexible approach to representing complex systems. The article works through the different stages of the modeling process: structural development, parameter estimation, model implementation, model analysis, and representation and reporting. Recommendations are made for…
Evidence Synthesis | Dynamic Simulation | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine -
GuidelinesPublication 2012State-Transition Modeling: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Task Force-3
State-transition modeling includes both Markov model cohort simulation as well as individual-based (first-order Monte Carlo) …
State-transition modeling includes both Markov model cohort simulation as well as individual-based (first-order Monte Carlo) microsimulation. These models have been used in many different populations and diseases, and their applications range from personalized health care strategies to public health programs. Most frequently, state-transition models are used in the evaluation of risk factor interventions, screening, diagnostic procedures, treatment strategies, and disease management programs. Recommendations are made on choice of model type (cohort vs. individual-level model), model…
Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Health/Medicine -
GuidelinesPublication 2012Dynamic Transmission Modeling: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Task Force-5
This paper reports the consensus-based guidelines on dynamic transmission modeling in health care. The transmissible …
This paper reports the consensus-based guidelines on dynamic transmission modeling in health care. The transmissible nature of communicable diseases is what sets them apart from other diseases modeled by health economists. The probability of a susceptible individual becoming infected at any one point in time (the force of infection) is related to the number of infectious individuals in the population, will change over time, and will feed back into the future force of infection. These…
Dynamic Simulation | Mathematical Models | Dynamic Transmission | Health/Medicine | Infectious Diseases -
GuidelinesPublication 2012Model Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Analysis: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Task Force-6
This paper discusses methods for the reporting of uncertainty, both in terms of deterministic sensitivity …
This paper discusses methods for the reporting of uncertainty, both in terms of deterministic sensitivity analysis techniques and probabilistic methods. Stochastic (first-order) uncertainty is distinguished from both parameter (second-order) uncertainty and from heterogeneity, with structural uncertainty relating to the model itself forming another level of uncertainty. The article describes the process of estimating model inputs, whether these are point estimates or distributions. It also explores the link between parameter uncertainty, decision uncertainty, and value-of-information analysis.…
Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Value of Information | Health/Medicine -
GuidelinesPublication 2011HPV Vaccine Introduction in LMIC's: Guidance on the Use of Cost-Effectiveness Models
This article is a literature review of HPV vaccination models suitable for low-income and middle-income …
This article is a literature review of HPV vaccination models suitable for low-income and middle-income country use to provide information about the feasibility of using such models in a developing country setting. The authors evaluated models in terms of their capacity, requirements, limitations and comparability. Their literature review identified six HPV vaccination models suitable for low-income and middle-income country use and representative of the literature in terms of provenance and model structure. Each model was…
Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Systems | Clinical Care | Science/Technology | Global -
BriefPublication 2023Dynamic Mortality Modeling: Incorporating Predictions of Future General Population Mortality into CEA
This study addresses the limitations of conventional static approaches in health economic modeling by proposing …
This study addresses the limitations of conventional static approaches in health economic modeling by proposing a dynamic general population mortality modeling method. Using a replication of the axicabtagene ciloleucel model from NICE appraisal TA559, the authors demonstrate the potential impact of this approach on estimating life-years and cost-effectiveness. The model utilizes national mortality projections and updates mortality rates annually, considering different assumptions around age distribution. Results show that incorporating dynamic calculations increases undiscounted life-years attributed…
Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | Europe -
BriefPublication 2023Simulation Modeling to Guide Priority Setting in Global Maternal Health
This study developed the Global Maternal Health (GMatH) microsimulation model to evaluate maternal health policy …
This study developed the Global Maternal Health (GMatH) microsimulation model to evaluate maternal health policy interventions across 200 countries and territories from 1990 to 2050. It addresses challenges in measuring maternal mortality by simulating individual women's reproductive lifecycles. Various interventions, including family planning and facility-based care, were simulated to compare against a baseline scenario projecting the global maternal mortality ratio (MMR) to decrease to 167 per 100,000 live births by 2030. Results suggest that while…
Microsimulation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Policy/Regulation | Global -
BriefPublication 2019Brief: Safe Routes to School (SRTS) in Houston, Texas
This brief summarizes findings from the CHOICES Learning Collaborative Partnership simulation model of implementing Safe …
This brief summarizes findings from the CHOICES Learning Collaborative Partnership simulation model of implementing Safe Routes to School (SRTS) initiatives in elementary and middle schools in the Houston Independent School District. SRTS aims to help children safely walk and bicycle to school through infrastructure improvements, education, and promotional activities. The analysis compared the costs and outcomes over a 10-year time horizon (2017-2027) of implementing SRTS in Houston with the costs and outcomes associated with not…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | Economics/Finance | Child/Nutrition | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Education/Labor | North America