Resources Repository
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ReviewPublication 2016Choosing an Epidemiological Model Structure for Economic Evaluation
This review presents a taxonomy of epidemiological model structures and applies it to the economic …
This review presents a taxonomy of epidemiological model structures and applies it to the economic evaluation of public health interventions for non-communicable diseases. Growing pressures on health services and on social care have led to a greater need for prevention of chronic diseases. In order for decision makers to make informed judgements about how to best spend finite public health resources, they must be able to quantify the anticipated costs, benefits, and opportunity costs of…
Mathematical Models | Dynamic Transmission | Environmental Health | Social Determinants | State-Transition | Microsimulation | Dynamic Simulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Systems | Climate/Environment | Culture/Society | Health/Medicine -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024One Health Trust
One Health Trust, formally the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy (CDDEP), was founded …
One Health Trust, formally the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy (CDDEP), was founded with the objective of using research to support better decision-making in health policy. One Health Trust researchers employ a range of expertise—including economics, epidemiology, disease modeling, risk analysis, and statistics—to conduct actionable, policy-oriented research on malaria, antibiotic resistance, disease control priorities, environmental health, alcohol and tobacco, and other global health priorities. One Health Trust projects are global in scope, spanning…
Mathematical Models | Environmental Health | Social Determinants | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Technology Assessment | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Climate/Environment | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Global | Sub-Saharan Africa | Asia & Pacific -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making under Uncertainty
This self-directed tutorial is for a decision analytic model related to the execution and management …
This self-directed tutorial is for a decision analytic model related to the execution and management of prescribed burns within forests. This tutorial builds upon the work of the publication: Cohan D, Haas SM, Radloff DL, Yancik RF. Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making Under Uncertainty. Interfaces 1984; 14 (5): 8-19. Not open access. About the Alan Colowick Innovation Fund The case-based tutorials in this teaching pack were created with support from the CHDS Alan Colowick…
Mathematical Models | Environmental Health | Decision Analysis | Climate/Environment | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
ArticlePublication 2019Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity
This analysis estimates state-specific and demographic subgroup-specific trends and projections of the prevalence of categories …
This analysis estimates state-specific and demographic subgroup-specific trends and projections of the prevalence of categories of body-mass index (BMI) in the United States. Self-reported BMI from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey (1993-1994 and 1999-2016) were obtained and corrected for quantile-specific self-reporting bias. Multinomial regressions were then fitted for each state and subgroup to estimate the prevalence of four BMI categories from 1990 through 2030: underweight or normal weight (BMI <25), overweight (25 to…
Mathematical Models | Social Determinants | Health Outcomes | Calibration/Validation | Chronic Disease/Risk | North America -
ArticlePublication 2018Consequences of a Cigarette Price Increase in 13 Middle Income Countries
This study used extended cost-effectiveness analysis to examine the impact of a 50% increase in …
This study used extended cost-effectiveness analysis to examine the impact of a 50% increase in market prices of cigarettes on health, poverty, and financial protection for men in 13 middle income countries. A 50% increase in cigarette prices would lead to about 450 million years of life gained across the 13 countries from smoking cessation, with half of these in China. Across all countries, men in the bottom income group would gain 6.7 times more…
Mathematical Models | Social Determinants | Priority Setting/Ethics | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Global -
ArticlePublication 2017Distributional Benefits of Tobacco Tax and Smoke-Free Workplaces in China
This study used the extended cost–effectiveness analysis (ECEA) to evaluate, across income quintiles of the …
This study used the extended cost–effectiveness analysis (ECEA) to evaluate, across income quintiles of the male population, the premature deaths averted, the change in tax revenues generated, and the financial risk protection procured, that would follow a 75% increase in cigarette prices through substantial increments in excise tax fully passed onto consumers, and a nationwide total implementation of workplace smoking bans. A 75% increase in cigarette prices would avert about 24 million premature deaths among…
Mathematical Models | Social Determinants | Priority Setting/Ethics | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2015Consequences of Tobacco Tax in Rich and Poor Smokers in China: An ECEA
This study used the extended cost-effectiveness analysis methods to estimate, across income quintiles of the …
This study used the extended cost-effectiveness analysis methods to estimate, across income quintiles of the male population, the health benefits (years of life gained), the additional tax revenues raised, the net financial consequences for households, and the financial risk protection provided to households, that would be caused by a 50% increase in tobacco price through excise tax fully passed onto tobacco consumers in China. The analysis showed that a 50% increase in tobacco price through…
Mathematical Models | Social Determinants | Priority Setting/Ethics | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2019Impact of a Tax on Sweetened Beverages in the Philippines: an ECEA
This study used extended cost-effectiveness analyses to estimate the effect of the sweetened beverages tax …
This study used extended cost-effectiveness analyses to estimate the effect of the sweetened beverages tax in the Philippines on the numbers of premature deaths averted attributed to type 2 diabetes mellitus, ischemic heart disease and stroke, across income quintiles over the period 2018-2037. The study also estimated the financial benefits of the tax from reductions in out-of-pocket payments, direct medical costs averted, and government health-care cost savings. The analysis showed that the tax could avert…
Mathematical Models | Social Determinants | Priority Setting/Ethics | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific -
Resource PortalWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2024Millennium Mathematics Project (MMP)
The Millennium Mathematics Project (MMP), a collaboration between the Faculties of Mathematics and Education at the …
The Millennium Mathematics Project (MMP), a collaboration between the Faculties of Mathematics and Education at the University of Cambridge, is a maths education and outreach initiative for ages 3 to 19 and the general public. The focus is on increasing mathematical understanding, confidence and enjoyment, developing problem-solving skills, and promoting creative and imaginative approaches to maths. The project consists of a family of complementary programmes, including the NRICH website, Plus online mathematics magazine, Wild Maths, and…
Mathematical Models | Environmental Health | Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Decision Analysis | Risk Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Child/Nutrition | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Europe | High School | College | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy