- models and tools
- mathematical models
- state-transition
- microsimulation
- calibration/validation
- dynamic simulation
- approaches and applications
- decision analysis
- risk analysis
- benefit-cost analysis
- cost-effectiveness analysis
- technology assessment
- operations research
- chronic disease/risk
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Resources Repository
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GuidelinesPublication 2013Guide to the Methods of Technology Appraisal 2013
The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE, or the Institute) provides guidance to …
The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE, or the Institute) provides guidance to the NHS in England on the clinical and cost effectiveness of selected new and established technologies. The Institute undertakes appraisals of health technologies at the request of the Department of Health. Guidance produced by the Institute on health technologies is also applied selectively in Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. The purpose of this document is to provide an overview of…
Technology Assessment | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Priority Setting/Ethics | Policy/Regulation | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Europe -
GuidelinesPublication 2013Decision and Simulation Modeling in Systematic Reviews
The purpose of this review is to provide guidance for determining when incorporating a decision-analytic …
The purpose of this review is to provide guidance for determining when incorporating a decision-analytic model alongside a systemic review would be of added value for decision making purposes. The purpose of systematic reviews is to synthesize the current scientific literature on a particular topic in the form of evidence reports and technology assessments to assist public and private organizations in developing strategies that improve the quality of health care and decision making. However, there…
Mathematical Models | Decision Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | Evidence Synthesis | Infectious Diseases | Child/Nutrition | Health/Medicine | North America -
GuidelinesPublication 2013Economic Analyses to Support Decisions about HPV Vaccination in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Consensus Report and Guide
Low- and middle-income countries need to consider economic issues such as cost-effectiveness, affordability and sustainability …
Low- and middle-income countries need to consider economic issues such as cost-effectiveness, affordability and sustainability before introducing a program for human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination. However, many such countries lack the technical capacity and data to conduct their own analyses. This report describes the consensus of an expert group convened by the World Health Organization, prioritizing key issues to be addressed when considering economic analyses to support HPV vaccine introduction in these countries. The expert group…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Chronic Disease/Risk | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Infectious Diseases | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean | Asia & Pacific -
ReviewPublication 2012Applying Decision Science to Managing National Forests
This publication is an example of the application of decision science to the management of …
This publication is an example of the application of decision science to the management of federal public forests, in particular to meet sustainability goals and multiple use regulations. Through three case studies, the authors describe four stages of a decision analytic approach: problem structuring (framing the problem and defining objectives and evaluation criteria), problem analysis (defining alternatives, evaluating likely consequences, identifying key uncertainties, and analyzing tradeoffs), decision point (identifying the preferred alternative), and implementation and monitoring…
Risk Analysis | Decision Analysis | Environmental Health | Value of Information | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Climate/Environment | Government/Law -
ReviewPublication 2010Validation of Population-Based Disease Simulation Models: A Review
This article develops a framework for validating population-based chronic disease simulation models, and reviews the …
This article develops a framework for validating population-based chronic disease simulation models, and reviews the principles and methods for such models. While computer simulation models are used increasingly to support public health research and policy, questions about their quality persist. Based on the review, the authors formulated a set of recommendations for gathering evidence of model credibility. They find that evidence of model credibility derives from examining: 1) the process of model development, 2) the…
Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Social Determinants | Health/Medicine -
BookPublication 2003WHO Guide to Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
This 2003 guide provides a method of assessing the cost-effectiveness of health interventions for an …
This 2003 guide provides a method of assessing the cost-effectiveness of health interventions for an international audience. The authors aim to inform the policy maker and to maximize the generalizability of results across settings. Part I begins with a description of cost-effectiveness analysis. It then considers issues relating to study design, estimating costs, assessing health effects, discounting, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, and reporting results. Part II provides examples to illustrate the principles in Part I. Detailed discussions…
Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Priority Setting/Ethics | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Evidence Synthesis | Health/Medicine | Global -
BookPublication 1978Swine Flu Affair: Decision-Making on a Slippery Disease
This report from the Institute of Medicine, The Swine Flu Affair: Decision-Making on a Slippery …
This report from the Institute of Medicine, The Swine Flu Affair: Decision-Making on a Slippery Disease, was written to review and critique the decisions made around the 1976 swine flu threat. In 1976, a small group of soldiers at Fort Dix were infected with a swine flu virus that was deemed similar to the virus responsible for the great 1918-19 world-wide flu pandemic. The U.S. government initiated an unprecedented effort to immunize every American against…
Risk Analysis | Decision Analysis | Health Systems | Infectious Diseases | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | North America -
ReviewPublication 2024Cost-Effectiveness of Newer Pharmacologic Treatments in Adults with Type 2 Diabetes: Systematic Review of Cost-Effectiveness Studies for the American College of Physicians
This systematic review examines the cost-effectiveness of newer antidiabetes medications for type 2 diabetes in …
This systematic review examines the cost-effectiveness of newer antidiabetes medications for type 2 diabetes in the United States. The study screened nonindustry-funded cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) conducted from 2010 to 2023, focusing on estimating cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Nine CEAs met the criteria, evaluating medications such as glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists (GLP1a), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i), and sodium–glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), among others. Comparisons were made against metformin, sulfonylureas, neutral protamine Hagedorn (NPH) insulin, and…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health/Medicine | North America -
ReviewPublication 2018Patient Variability Seldom Assessed in Cost-Effectiveness Studies
This article in Medical Decision Making reviews 200 articles published in 2014 to determine whether …
This article in Medical Decision Making reviews 200 articles published in 2014 to determine whether each cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) study reported subgroup results and collected data on the defining characteristics of these subgroups. Since estimates can vary across patient subgroups when characteristics are influenced by preferences, outcome risks, treatment effectiveness, life expectancy, or associated costs it can be important to track and report these differences. The authors identified whether any of the CEA subgroup results…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Preferences/Values | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Global