Resources Repository
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Teaching PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2022Teaching Pack: Probability Revision and Bayes
In this teaching pack on Probability Revision and Bayes, students are introduced to the implications …
In this teaching pack on Probability Revision and Bayes, students are introduced to the implications of imperfect information, acquire a conceptual understanding of Bayes theorem, and gain practical skills in performing probability revision. Materials include an instructor's note, videos, companion slides, a glossary, an annotated bibliography, sample exercises, and additional support. Learning Objectives Demonstrate a conceptual understanding of Bayes’ theorem and probability revision. Differentiate between test characteristics (e.g., probability of positive test given…
Probability/Bayes | Environmental Health | Test Performance | Decision Analysis | Health/Medicine | College | Graduate | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
ArticlePublication 2017Simulation of Growth Trajectories of Childhood Obesity into Adulthood
The authors developed a simulation model to estimate the risk of adult obesity at the age …
The authors developed a simulation model to estimate the risk of adult obesity at the age of 35 years for the current population of children in the United States. They used pooled height and weight data from five nationally representative longitudinal studies totaling 176,720 observations from 41,567 children and adults to simulate growth trajectories across the life course adjusted for secular trends. Using 1,000 virtual populations of 1 million children through the age of 19 years, representative of the…
Health Outcomes | Chronic Disease/Risk | Microsimulation | Child/Nutrition | Health/Medicine | North America -
ArticlePublication 2017Cost-Effectiveness of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control
Based on data from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), the authors of this …
Based on data from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), the authors of this article compared the cost-effectiveness of intensive versus standard control in adults at high risk for cardiovascular disease who received intensive systolic blood-pressure control. A microsimulation model was used to project lifetime costs of treatment and monitoring, cardiovascular disease events and subsequent treatment costs, treatment-related risks of serious adverse events and subsequent costs, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for the two strategies.…
Health Outcomes | Chronic Disease/Risk | Microsimulation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | North America -
DataInteractive 2017Child Malnutrition Estimates 2017: Data Interactive
This 2017 interactive data dashboard, using information collected by UNICEF, the World Health Organization, and …
This 2017 interactive data dashboard, using information collected by UNICEF, the World Health Organization, and the World Bank, displays the latest data for child malnutrition around the world. Updated regularly, the dashboard can display a global overview, regional trends, and prevalence for malnutrition stunting, overweight, and wasting, all sortable by organization-specific classifications, regions, and income groups. The interactive is accompanied by an informational brochure filled with infographics and a quick tutorial on how to use the…
Health Outcomes | Chronic Disease/Risk | Child/Nutrition | Social Determinants | Food/Agriculture | Global -
ArticlePublication 2017Reduced Burden of Childhood Diarrheal Diseases through Increased Access to Water and Sanitation in India: Modeling Analysis
This analysis estimates the health and economic benefits of scaling up the coverage of piped …
This analysis estimates the health and economic benefits of scaling up the coverage of piped water and improved sanitation to a near-universal 95% level among Indian households. The authors used an agent-based microsimulation platform, IndiaSim, to model disease progression and individual healthcare-seeking behavior in India, and use ECEA to estimate health and economic outcomes over time. They found that scaling up access to piped water and improved sanitation could avert 43,352 diarrheal episodes and 68…
Health Outcomes | Environmental Health | Priority Setting/Ethics | Costing Methods | Microsimulation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Social Determinants | Economics/Finance | Energy/Engineering | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Asia & Pacific -
Teaching PackWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018Teaching Pack: Teaching Prototypes for Decision Analysis
These videos, developed by Professor Myriam Hunink during an immersion residency at the Center for …
These videos, developed by Professor Myriam Hunink during an immersion residency at the Center for Health Decision Science (CHDS) Media Hub, reflect experiments to augment brick and mortar teaching with multimedia materials that emphasize visualization of basic concepts. The first video introduces decision making under uncertainty, and illustrates the use of probability and odds to quantitatively express uncertainty. The second and third videos introduce probability revision visually and analytically, showing how an initial probability is…
Probability/Bayes | Chronic Disease/Risk | Test Performance | Value of Information | Health Systems | Health/Medicine | North America | Europe | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
Resource PortalWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2024National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, founded in 1863, has a mission to provide …
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, founded in 1863, has a mission to provide nonpartisan, objective guidance for decision makers on policy challenges in the context of science, engineering, and medicine. NAS reports and convening activities have a wide range of impacts on policy and practice. They guide the development of federal laws and regulations, improve the effectiveness of government programs, shape the direction of research fields, and inform public knowledge and dialogue about…
Health Outcomes | Chronic Disease/Risk | Priority Setting/Ethics | Evidence Synthesis | Risk Analysis | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Technology Assessment | Infectious Diseases | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Child/Nutrition | Injuries/Accidents | Social Determinants | Health Systems | Global Governance | Climate/Environment | Energy/Engineering | Education/Labor | Food/Agriculture | Health/Medicine | Military/Defense | Science/Technology | Global | North America | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Policy Translation -
ArticlePublication 2016Health Gains & Financial Protection from Ethiopian Mental Health Strategy: An ECEA
Using the extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA), this paper evaluates the impacts of fully publicly financed …
Using the extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA), this paper evaluates the impacts of fully publicly financed care for depression, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia and epilepsy as part of the mental and neurological package (MN) of the National Mental Health Strategy in Ethiopia. The following outcomes were estimated disaggregated across wealth quintiles: (1) healthy-life-years (HALYs) gained; (2) household out-of-pocket (OOP) expenditures averted (3) expected financial risk protection (FRP); and (4) productivity impact. The MN package is expected to…
Health Outcomes | Mental Health | Costing Methods | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ArticlePublication 2016Quality Improvement for Cardiovascular Disease Care in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review
The majority of global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden falls on people living in low- and …
The majority of global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden falls on people living in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). As part of the Disease Control Priorities Three (DCP3) Study efforts addressing quality improvement, the authors reviewed and summarized currently available evidence on interventions to improve quality of clinic-based CVD prevention and management in LMICs. Using a narrative review of published comparative clinical trials that evaluated efficacy or effectiveness of clinic-based CVD prevention and management quality improvement…
Health Outcomes | Chronic Disease/Risk | Evidence Synthesis | Health Systems | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean | Asia & Pacific