- preferences/values
- models and tools
- mathematical models
- state-transition
- dynamic transmission
- microsimulation
- calibration/validation
- approaches and applications
- decision analysis
- risk analysis
- benefit-cost analysis
- cost-effectiveness analysis
- technology assessment
- operations research
- infectious diseases
- mental health
- health systems
Resources Repository
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Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2015Calibration of Complex Models through Bayesian Evidence Synthesis: A Tutorial
This tutorial demonstrates how to implement a Bayesian synthesis of diverse sources of evidence to …
This tutorial demonstrates how to implement a Bayesian synthesis of diverse sources of evidence to calibrate the parameters of a complex model. To illustrate these methods, the authors demonstrate how a previously developed Markov model for the progression of human papillomavirus (HPV-16) infection was rebuilt in a Bayesian framework. Transition probabilities between states of disease severity are inferred indirectly from cross-sectional observations of prevalence of HPV-16 and HPV-16–related disease by age, cervical cancer incidence, and…
Calibration/Validation | Infectious Diseases -
ArticlePublication 2015Extended CEA: Surgical Access in Ethiopia
This chapter presents an extended cost-effectiveness analysis of strategies to improve access to surgical care …
This chapter presents an extended cost-effectiveness analysis of strategies to improve access to surgical care in rural Ethiopia, providing information on the health and financial risk protection benefits of policies. This chapter is from Essential Surgery, the first volume in the Disease Control Priorities, third edition (DCP3) series. The volume presents data on the surgical burden of disease, disability, congenital anomalies, and trauma, along with health impact and economic analyses of procedures, platforms, and packages…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Priority Setting/Ethics | Costing Methods | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Child/Nutrition | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ArticlePublication 2015Benefit-Cost Analysis for Selected Surgical Interventions
This chapter presents an approach for performing benefit-cost analysis using cleft lip and palate (CLP) repair as …
This chapter presents an approach for performing benefit-cost analysis using cleft lip and palate (CLP) repair as a model surgical intervention in a subspecialty hospital dedicated to CLP in India, and a benefit-cost analysis based on secondary data that model the benefit and cost of cesarean delivery for treatment of obstructed labor in 47 low- and middle-income countries. This chapter is from Essential Surgery, the first volume in the Disease Control Priorities, third edition (DCP3) series. The…
Benefit-Cost Analysis | Health Systems | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Child/Nutrition | Health/Medicine | Global | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2014Rise and Fall of HIV in High-Prevalence Countries: A Challenge for Mathematical Modeling
Several countries with generalized, high-prevalence HIV epidemics, mostly in sub-Saharan Africa, have experienced rapid declines …
Several countries with generalized, high-prevalence HIV epidemics, mostly in sub-Saharan Africa, have experienced rapid declines in transmission. These HIV epidemics, often with rapid onsets, have generally been attributed to a combination of factors related to high-risk sexual behavior. The subsequent declines in these countries began prior to widespread therapy or implementation of any other major biomedical prevention. This change has been construed as evidence of behavior change, often on the basis of mathematical models, but…
Mathematical Models | Infectious Diseases | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa -
GuidelinesPublication 2013Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards
These guidelines demonstrate how to present the findings of Health Economic Evaluations. They are aimed …
These guidelines demonstrate how to present the findings of Health Economic Evaluations. They are aimed at researchers and reviewers in no particular region. Previously published checklists or guidance documents related to reporting economic evaluations were identified from a systematic review and subsequent survey of task force members. A two-round, modified Delphi Panel with representatives from academia, clinical practice, industry, and government, as well as the editorial community, was used to identify a minimum set of…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Costing Methods | Policy/Regulation | Health/Medicine | Global -
ReviewPublication 2013Public Health Economics: Review of Guidance for Economic Evaluation
This is a systematic review of published guidance for the economic evaluation of public health …
This is a systematic review of published guidance for the economic evaluation of public health interventions. Public Health Economics is the science and art of supporting decision making as to how society can use its available resources to advance health, and minimize opportunity cost. In this review, the authors identified 5 international guidance documents, 7 UK guidance documents and 4 documents by individual commentators. The papers reviewed identify the main methodological challenges that face analysts…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Systems | Priority Setting/Ethics | Costing Methods | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Europe -
ArticlePublication 2013Public Finance of Rotavirus Vaccination in India and Ethiopia: Extended CEA
This study uses extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA) to evaluate a hypothetical publicly financed program for …
This study uses extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA) to evaluate a hypothetical publicly financed program for rotavirus vaccination in India and Ethiopia. The authors measured program impact on: (1) averted rotavirus deaths; (2) reduction in household expenditures; (3) financial risk protection; and (4) distributional consequences across the country’s wealth strata. In India and Ethiopia, the program was predicted to decrease rotavirus deaths substantially, and effectively provide financial risk protection among the poor, while also reducing household…
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Priority Setting/Ethics | Health Outcomes | Child/Nutrition | Social Determinants | Culture/Society | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa | Asia & Pacific -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2011Epidemics: Modelling with Mathematics
This learning module explores mathematically modeling disease epidemics. Through video clips, Dr. Julia Gog and …
This learning module explores mathematically modeling disease epidemics. Through video clips, Dr. Julia Gog and Dr. Andrew Conlan explain simple mathematical models for how disease spreads through populations, and how these models can be built upon for more complex modelling. These models can be used to predict epidemics, and in turn, help to mitigate their risks. Related resources, such as activities, worksheets, and presentations, are available to help students investigate mathematical modelling. These activities are…
Mathematical Models | Infectious Diseases | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Global | High School | College | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership -
ArticlePublication 2007Making the Right Decision: Benjamin Franklin in 1736
This paper applies a decision analytic approach to a past decision made by Benjamin Franklin with regard to …
This paper applies a decision analytic approach to a past decision made by Benjamin Franklin with regard to inoculating his son against smallpox. Benjamin Franklin in his autobiography said: “In 1736 I lost one of my sons, a fine boy of four years old, by the smallpox taken in the common way. I long regretted bitterly and still regret that I had not given it to him by inoculation. This I mention for the sake of the parents who…
Decision Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Health/Medicine