Resources Repository
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Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: Building Decision Trees
This tutorial illustrates the basic steps needed to develop decision trees in Amua using a …
This tutorial illustrates the basic steps needed to develop decision trees in Amua using a disease screening example. It details the process of how to build the structure of a decision tree, parameterize the model with probabilities and relevant outcomes (i.e., life expectancy), evaluate three alternative screening strategies in a baseline scenario, and perform one-way sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of the results to different parameter values. Amua, the Swahili word meaning “decide”/“solve”, is…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Probability/Bayes | Decision Analysis | Clinical Care | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
ExerciseNone, Teaching Resource 2024Lab: Giant Cell Arteritis Decision Tree Model
This tutorial walks through the development of a decision tree model focused on Giant Cell …
This tutorial walks through the development of a decision tree model focused on Giant Cell Arteritis. It describes how to build the model structure, assign probabilities and outcomes based on imperfect test characteristics and epidemiologic estimates, evaluate alternative treatment strategies, and conduct one-way sensitivity analyses to assess which model parameters may impact the optimal treatment choice. Amua, the Swahili word meaning “decide”/“solve”, is an open source modeling framework and probabilistic programming language for decision analysis…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Probability/Bayes | Decision Analysis | Clinical Care | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2017Translating Science Into Policy: The Role of Decision Science
This module introduces the basic techniques of “decision science” that are used in policy making. …
This module introduces the basic techniques of “decision science” that are used in policy making. The materials are mainly prescriptive, focusing on how to make good decisions, but also include examples of the systematic ways that people make poor decisions. The module: (1) surveys the meanings of utility; (2) examines decision making in conditions where risk is not an issue; (3) examines decision making in conditions where risk is an issue because the likelihood of…
Health/Medicine | Decision Psychology | Preferences/Values | Decision Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Policy/Regulation | Government/Law | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Policy Translation -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016Educational Module: Models and Practice
This module is an introduction to models and to their role in regulatory decision-making, and …
This module is an introduction to models and to their role in regulatory decision-making, and is intended for non-scientists from a variety of different backgrounds including law, journalism, public policy, and business. The module covers three main themes: (1) Core lessons on using models for policy making; (2) Key questions on the art and science of modeling including how models differ from other scientific techniques; and (3) Key ideas on using models in policy-making including how…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Climate/Environment | Priority Setting/Ethics | Environmental Health | Policy/Regulation | Business/Industry | Government/Law | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Conceptual Mapping | Decision Making/Leadership -
Lesson/ModuleMultimedia, Teaching Resource 2015Would You Opt for a Life with No Pain?
Imagine if you could plug your brain into a machine that would bring you ultimate …
Imagine if you could plug your brain into a machine that would bring you ultimate pleasure for the rest of your life. The only catch? You have to permanently leave reality behind. Hayley Levitt and Bethany Rickwald explore Robert Nozick’s thought experiment that he called the Experience Machine. This TED-Ed lesson was developed by Hayley Levitt and Bethany Rickwald with animation by Avi Ofer. Available on YouTube. Full lesson available on TED-Ed. This includes the video,…
Health/Medicine | Decision Psychology | Preferences/Values | Social Determinants | Economics/Finance | Global | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis -
ExerciseNone, Teaching Resource 2024Lab: Autoimmune Encephalitis Decision Tree Model
This tutorial walks through the development of a decision tree model based on a published …
This tutorial walks through the development of a decision tree model based on a published cost-effectiveness analysis of routine screening for autoimmune encephalitis in patients with first-episode psychosis in the United States based on the published article: Ross EL, Becker JE, Linnoila JJ, Soeteman DI. Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Screening for Autoimmune Encephalitis in Patients with First-Episode Psychosis in the United States. J Clin Psychiatry 2020; 82 (1): 19m13168. The tutorial describes how to build the…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Clinical Care | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: CEA of Alternative Colorectal Cancer Screening Strategies in High-Risk Individuals
This self-directed tutorial is about a decision analytic model of Alternative Colorectal Cancer Screening Strategies …
This self-directed tutorial is about a decision analytic model of Alternative Colorectal Cancer Screening Strategies in High-Risk Individuals. This tutorial is based on the publication: Benamouzig R, Barré S, Saurin J-C et al. Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Alternative Colorectal Cancer Screening Strategies in High-Risk Individuals. Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology 2021; 14. About the Alan Colowick Innovation Fund The case-based tutorials in this teaching pack were created with support from the CHDS Alan Colowick Innovation Fund, established with…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Clinical Care | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: Introduction to Programming Decision Trees
This self-directed tutorial walks through the development of a decision tree using Amua to evaluate …
This self-directed tutorial walks through the development of a decision tree using Amua to evaluate three initial management strategies for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) based on a published analysis: Soeteman DI, Stout NK, Ozanne EM et al. Modeling the Effectiveness of Initial Management Strategies for Ductal Carcinoma in Situ. J Natl Cancer Inst 2013; 105 (11): 774-781. The tutorial describes how to build the model structure, parameterize the model probabilities and outcomes based on…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Clinical Care | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making under Uncertainty
This self-directed tutorial is for a decision analytic model related to the execution and management …
This self-directed tutorial is for a decision analytic model related to the execution and management of prescribed burns within forests. This tutorial builds upon the work of the publication: Cohan D, Haas SM, Radloff DL, Yancik RF. Using Fire in Forest Management: Decision Making Under Uncertainty. Interfaces 1984; 14 (5): 8-19. Not open access. About the Alan Colowick Innovation Fund The case-based tutorials in this teaching pack were created with support from the CHDS Alan Colowick…
Mathematical Models | Climate/Environment | Decision Analysis | Environmental Health | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional