Resources Repository
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Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Estimating Transition Probabilities for a Model
This video is intended to provide a discussion on various methods for deriving probabilities that are …
This video is intended to provide a discussion on various methods for deriving probabilities that are needed for decision models. Presented are the concepts of literature based Odds Ratios and Relative Risks, which need to be transformed into probabilities, how to deal with probability estimates from time frames not relevant to the model in question, and how to derive probabilities from published summary statistics. This lecture is aimed at the researcher who is interested in operationalizing…
Probability/Bayes | Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Evidence Synthesis | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2017Translating Science Into Policy: The Role of Decision Science
This module introduces the basic techniques of “decision science” that are used in policy making. …
This module introduces the basic techniques of “decision science” that are used in policy making. The materials are mainly prescriptive, focusing on how to make good decisions, but also include examples of the systematic ways that people make poor decisions. The module: (1) surveys the meanings of utility; (2) examines decision making in conditions where risk is not an issue; (3) examines decision making in conditions where risk is an issue because the likelihood of…
Preferences/Values | Decision Psychology | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Policy/Regulation | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Policy Translation -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016DNA Evidence: Case Study in Probabilities
This educational module on DNA evidence presents trial testimony, exhibits, and opinions in a case …
This educational module on DNA evidence presents trial testimony, exhibits, and opinions in a case in which federal courts at every level discerned “inaccuracies” in the testimony of a leading expert about probabilities associated with the DNA evidence. By embedding these legal materials in background explanations, critical questions, and short problems, the module supports self-study and class discussions that together can elucidate key principles in scientific reasoning and quantitative analysis and that can help students…
Probability/Bayes | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Test Performance | Risk Analysis | Injuries/Accidents | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleMultimedia, Teaching Resource 2015Would You Opt for a Life with No Pain?
Imagine if you could plug your brain into a machine that would bring you ultimate …
Imagine if you could plug your brain into a machine that would bring you ultimate pleasure for the rest of your life. The only catch? You have to permanently leave reality behind. Hayley Levitt and Bethany Rickwald explore Robert Nozick’s thought experiment that he called the Experience Machine. This TED-Ed lesson was developed by Hayley Levitt and Bethany Rickwald with animation by Avi Ofer. Available on YouTube. Full lesson available on TED-Ed. This includes the video,…
Preferences/Values | Decision Psychology | Health/Medicine | Social Determinants | Economics/Finance | Global | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2011Test is Positive: But What Are the Odds It's Wrong?
This learning module explores real-world applications of probability and statistics in decision-making. It includes a …
This learning module explores real-world applications of probability and statistics in decision-making. It includes a wide range of activities and resources to accompany videos on probability and statistics in diagnostic testing and as evidence in the court of law. These videos aim to help students better understand what questions to ask in order to produce optimal data. Both video-related and alternative practice problems are provided. These activities are recommended to be used together but can…
Probability/Bayes | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Test Performance | Global | High School | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Sensitivity Analyses
This video is intended to provide an introduction to the use of sensitivity analyses to …
This video is intended to provide an introduction to the use of sensitivity analyses to test how uncertainty impacts model predicted results. Uncertainty from point estimates used for model inputs is discussed as is testing using deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. This video is part of the Conducting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with VA Data (HCEA) free course offered by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development group focused on cost-effectiveness analysis and…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Evidence Synthesis Part II: Quantitative Pooling
This video is intended to provide researchers with an introduction to the second part of conducting …
This video is intended to provide researchers with an introduction to the second part of conducting a meta-analysis: quantitatively pooling. The goal of this meta-analysis is to synthesize multiple published estimates from parameters of interest (such as disease-related mortality or the efficacy of a treatment) into a single input for use in a decision model. This video is part of the Conducting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with VA Data (HCEA) free course offered by the U.S. Department of…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Evidence Synthesis | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Evidence Synthesis Part I: Systematic Literature Review
This video is intended to provide researchers with an introduction to the first part of …
This video is intended to provide researchers with an introduction to the first part of conducting a meta-analysis: a systematic literature review. The goal of this meta-analysis is to synthesize multiple published estimates from parameters of interest (such as disease-related mortality or the efficacy of a treatment) into a single input for use in a decision model. This video is part of the Conducting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with VA Data (HCEA) free course offered by the…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Evidence Synthesis | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Medical Decision Making and Decision Analysis
This video is intended to provide an introduction to decision analysis in the context of …
This video is intended to provide an introduction to decision analysis in the context of medicine and public health and includes a discussion of the goals and elements of a decision analysis, introduces the concept of decision trees, and highlights how Markov models can be used to consider more complex disease decisions. This video is part of the Conducting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with VA Data (HCEA) free course offered by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs…
Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | State-Transition | Decision Analysis | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy