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BookPublication 2013Thinking: The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction in Life and Markets
This book presents original ideas from leading psychologists, neuroscientists, and philosophers who have radically expanded …
This book presents original ideas from leading psychologists, neuroscientists, and philosophers who have radically expanded our understanding of human thought by developing the field of behavioral economics to inform a new science of decision-making. The book includes articles from these experts that cover a wide range of topics about human intuition and unconscious thinking, the applications and limitations of statistics in decisions, the scientific underpinnings of human nature, and other subjects relevant to decision-making, problem-solving,…
Government/Law | Decision Psychology | Risk Analysis | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Culture/Society | Economics/Finance | Science/Technology -
BookPublication 2015Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't
This book draws from the experiences of some of the most successful forecasters in America …
This book draws from the experiences of some of the most successful forecasters in America to provide an account of how predictions are made in settings as diverse as hurricanes, baseball, poker, and the stock market. The author, a leading forecaster and forecasting blogger, developed an innovative system for predicting baseball performance and predicted with near perfection the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections. From a wealth of personal knowledge and interviews with other experts, he…
Government/Law | Decision Psychology | Probability/Bayes | Business/Industry | Culture/Society | Economics/Finance
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