Resources Repository
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Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 1980Threshold Approach to Clinical Decision Making
This classic paper provides a "tutorial" for students learning about diagnostic testing, probability revision, and …
This classic paper provides a "tutorial" for students learning about diagnostic testing, probability revision, and how to calculate thresholds for testing, treatment, and no treatment. The authors describe how a physician's estimate of the probability that a patient has a particular disease is a principal factor in the determination of whether to withhold treatment, obtain more data by testing, or treat without subjecting the patient to the risks of further diagnostic tests. Using the concepts of decision analysis,…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Value of Information | Decision Analysis | Health/Medicine -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2024Tutorial: Building Decision Trees
This tutorial illustrates the basic steps needed to develop decision trees in Amua using a …
This tutorial illustrates the basic steps needed to develop decision trees in Amua using a disease screening example. It details the process of how to build the structure of a decision tree, parameterize the model with probabilities and relevant outcomes (i.e., life expectancy), evaluate three alternative screening strategies in a baseline scenario, and perform one-way sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of the results to different parameter values. Amua, the Swahili word meaning “decide”/“solve”, is…
Probability/Bayes | Mathematical Models | Decision Analysis | Clinical Care | Health/Medicine | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Online LearningVideo, Teaching Resource 2021Reporting on COVID-19 Vaccines at the Intersection of Science and Politics
Journalists play a vital role in communicating to the public about COVID-19 vaccines, and currently …
Journalists play a vital role in communicating to the public about COVID-19 vaccines, and currently under challenging circumstances. The science surrounding COVID-19 is rapidly changing, vaccines have been developed at “warp speed” using a new approach, and misinformation is on the rise. Moreover, current and historical injustices and inequities, as well as heightened political polarization, affect what information is consumed, trusted, and acted upon. This webinar offers an opportunity for members of the media to…
Decision Psychology | Preferences/Values | Infectious Diseases | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Culture/Society | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | North America -
Online LearningVideo, Teaching Resource 2019Colloquium on Misinformation About Science in the Public Sphere
This colloquium was held in April 2019 at Irvine, CA in and was co-sponsored by …
This colloquium was held in April 2019 at Irvine, CA in and was co-sponsored by the Rita Allen Foundation, Science Sandbox, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, and the KAVLI Foundation. Misinformation about science in the public sphere is of great concern to scientists and to those who seek to communicate and support the use of science in public debate and decision-making. Participants examined the growing body of research on the factors that make people more or…
Decision Psychology | Preferences/Values | Priority Setting/Ethics | Culture/Society | Energy/Engineering | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | North America -
Online LearningPodcast, Teaching Resource 2018Choiceology with Katy Milkman
Through a series of ~30 minute podcasts sponsored by Charles Schwab, Katy Milkman a Wharton …
Through a series of ~30 minute podcasts sponsored by Charles Schwab, Katy Milkman a Wharton Professor asks “can we learn to make smarter choices?” Available for free through Apple’s iTunes, Google Podcasts or Spotify, Milkman explores lessons that have been learned from behavioral economics, sharing stories of irrational decision making--from historical blunders to everyday errors with the potential to impact the future. Season 1 of Choiceology included 7 podcasts hosted by author Dan Heath that…
Decision Psychology | Global | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis -
Online LearningWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018Fat Chance: Probability from the Ground Up
This is an introductory edX course in probability. Created specifically for those who are new …
This is an introductory edX course in probability. Created specifically for those who are new to the study of probability, or for those who are seeking an approachable review of core concepts prior to enrolling in a college-level statistics course, this course develops a mathematical mode of thought over rote memorization of terms and formulae. Through visual lessons and guided practice, this course explores the quantitative reasoning behind probability and the cumulative nature of mathematics…
Probability/Bayes | Middle School | High School | College | Quantitative Literacy -
GuidelinesPublication, Teaching Resource 2018Behavioral Economics Guide 2018
The 2018 Behavioral Economics Guide provides an introduction to behavioral economics, a review of developments …
The 2018 Behavioral Economics Guide provides an introduction to behavioral economics, a review of developments in the field, insights from practitioners, and general resources such as postgraduate programs and scholarly journals. This is the fifth edition of this now yearly publication. The 2018 edition features an introduction written by Robert Cialdini. Behavioraleconomics.com is the official home of the Behavioral Economics Guide. The guide is downloadable free of charge from the website.
Decision Psychology | Decision Theory | Preferences/Values | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional -
Online LearningMultimedia, Teaching Resource 2024Cochrane Interactive Learning
Cochrane Interactive Learning provides over 10 hours of self-directed learning on the complete systematic review …
Cochrane Interactive Learning provides over 10 hours of self-directed learning on the complete systematic review process for both new and experienced authors of systematic reviews following Cochrane methodology. It is useful for both introductory-level learners and more experienced learners who want to refresh and update their knowledge. Trainers may use it for blended learning, combining the online modules as an introduction to more advanced learning in a face-to-face setting. Cochrane Interactive Learning consists of nine modules, each…
Test Performance | Evidence Synthesis | Technology Assessment | Health/Medicine | Global | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Policy Translation | Quantitative Literacy -
Online LearningVideo, Teaching Resource 2023Khan Videos: Conditional Probability
These three videos, produced by Khan Academy, focus on conditional probability. Conditional probability with Bayes' …
These three videos, produced by Khan Academy, focus on conditional probability. Conditional probability with Bayes' Theorem (~5 min). Created by Brit Cruise, this video presents conditional probability visually using trees. Conditional probability and independence (~4 min). This video uses conditional probability to see if events are independent or not. Conditional probability tree diagram (~11 min). This video uses a tree diagram to work out the following conditional probability question: If someone fails a drug test, what is the…
Probability/Bayes | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | High School | College | Graduate | Quantitative Literacy