Resources Repository
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OrganizationWeb Portal 2024Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM)
The Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM) founded in 1952 to convey mathematical knowledge …
The Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM) founded in 1952 to convey mathematical knowledge to other professionals who could implement mathematical theory for practical, industrial, or scientific use. SIAM's mission is to build cooperation between mathematics and the worlds of science and technology through publications, research, and community. SIAM is an international community with over 14,000 individual members and almost 500 academic, manufacturing, research and development, service and consulting organizations, government, and military organizations…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Education/Labor | Business/Industry | Global -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024American Statistical Association (ASA)
The American Statistical Association (ASA) founded in 1839, is the world’s second-oldest, continuously operating professional association …
The American Statistical Association (ASA) founded in 1839, is the world’s second-oldest, continuously operating professional association in the country. The ASA has supported the development, application, and dissemination of statistical science through meetings, publications, membership services, accreditation, fellowships and grants, and advocacy. ASA provides educational materials for K–12 undergraduate and graduate faculty, statistics students, and statisticians in developing countries, including classroom resources, publications in statistics education, guidelines and reports, professional development resources, communities, competitions, programs, and resources…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Education/Labor | Decision Theory | Evidence Synthesis | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Food/Agriculture | Health/Medicine | Military/Defense | Global | North America -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development …
The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis. By sponsoring and organizing meetings, publishing the electronic journal Bayesian Analysis, and other activities, ISBA provides an international community for those interested in Bayesian analysis and its applications, and includes interest sections on topics such as biostatistics/pharmaceuticals, computation, economics/finance/business, education research/practice, environmental sciences, industrial statistics, nonparametrics and objective Bayes. Bayesian Analysis is the electronic journal…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Education/Labor | Decision Theory | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Health/Medicine | Global -
Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2023Resource Pack: Diagnostic Tests, Bayes, and COVID-19
This resource pack provides a curated set of articles, perspectives, and interactives about diagnostic testing …
This resource pack provides a curated set of articles, perspectives, and interactives about diagnostic testing for COVID-19. The pack provides materials that will be particularly useful for educators who are teaching diagnostic test performance, value of information, and probability revision using Bayes’ theorem. The majority of papers focus on PCR or rapid antigen testing on samples obtained from the respiratory tract by nasopharyngeal swab. The mechanism of false negative results (e.g., timing of sample collection…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Test Performance | Value of Information | Decision Analysis | Health/Medicine | Global | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
ToolInteractive 2020COVID-19 Antibody Tests: Calculator for Interpreting Test Results
Antibody testing can determine previous exposure to SARS-CoV-2 virus. This interactive calculator, linked to the article …
Antibody testing can determine previous exposure to SARS-CoV-2 virus. This interactive calculator, linked to the article below* on antibody testing for SARS-CoV-2 virus, allows users to vary the prior probability of infection, the sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing, and the specificity of SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing. Key points made in the article accompanying the interactive include: (1) antibody testing is likely to be most useful 2 weeks after infection, (2) sensitivity and specificity will vary over time and…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Test Performance | Technology Assessment | Infectious Diseases | Clinical Care | Health/Medicine -
Tools/ModelsInteractive, Teaching Resource 2020Interactive Graphic: Interpreting a COVID-19 Test Result
Currently, the most common diagnostic test for COVID-19 relies on reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction …
Currently, the most common diagnostic test for COVID-19 relies on reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), and most often uses samples obtained from the respiratory tract by nasopharyngeal swab. This interactive graphic demonstrates the influence of the prior probability of COVID-19, the test sensitivity (i.e., the probability of a positive test conditional on disease presence), and the test specificity (i.e., the probability of a negative test conditional on disease absence) on the post-test probability of…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Test Performance | Infectious Diseases | Clinical Care | Health/Medicine | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
ArticlePublication 2020Interpreting COVID-19 Test Results: A Bayesian Approach
This article considers the following question with respect to interpreting the results of polymerase chain reaction …
This article considers the following question with respect to interpreting the results of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays from nasal and pharyngeal swabs for COVID-19 to inform clinical decision making: "While a positive result in an acutely ill patient is straightforward, how should physicians interpret negative tests in patients with suspected COVID-19 infection?" Using an assumption of near-perfect specificity of PCR assays for COVID-19, the authors acknowledge the uncertainty of test sensitivity. They consider two clinical scenarios…
Probability/Bayes | Science/Technology | Test Performance | Infectious Diseases | Health/Medicine | Global -
Resource PackWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018Resource Pack: Cervical Cancer Models
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, is a collection of …
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, is a collection of models of HPV-related cervical cancer, differing in design, structure and features based on analytic objectives. In many ways, HPV and its related diseases represent a prototypical public health problem given the communicable and non-communicable nature of disease, opportunities for intervention along the entire disease spectrum (e.g., primary and secondary prevention, diagnosis, treatment), the varied ages at which interventions are targeted…
Dynamic Simulation | Science/Technology | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Dynamic Transmission | Microsimulation | Calibration/Validation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Systems | Clinical Care | Business/Industry | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Global -
Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2018Resource Pack: Models for Health Decision Science
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, provides broad exposure to …
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, provides broad exposure to mathematical models used in health decision science (e.g., microsimulation, dynamic transmission, agent-based, etc.). Resources include overviews, guidelines, tutorials, and applications relevant to a broad range of clinical and public health topics. A decision analytic approach relies on the use of a mathematical model to formally structure the components of the decision over time. Models are particularly useful when multiple data sources…
Dynamic Simulation | Science/Technology | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Dynamic Transmission | Microsimulation | Climate/Environment | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine