Resources Repository
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Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2018Resource Pack: Model Calibration and Validation
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, provides broad exposure to …
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, provides broad exposure to empirical calibration and validation methods for mathematical models used in health decision analysis. Included are a selection of overviews, guidelines, tutorials, and applications. Given the complexity of diseases and variation in data quality, there are invariably a number of parameters that are unobserved or cannot be estimated directly but can be inferred through the process of model calibration. Model calibration…
Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Dynamic Transmission | Microsimulation | Dynamic Simulation -
OrganizationWeb Portal 2024Council of Economic Advisers
The Council of Economic Advisers is an agency within the Executive Office of the President …
The Council of Economic Advisers is an agency within the Executive Office of the President and is charged with offering the President objective economic advice on the formulation of both domestic and international economic policy. The Council bases its recommendations and analysis on economic research and empirical evidence, using the best data available to support the President in setting our nation's economic policy. Learn about recent news and reports.
Benefit-Cost Analysis | Economics/Finance | Evidence Synthesis | Risk Analysis | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Policy/Regulation | Government/Law | North America -
ReportPublication 2017Investing Early: Taking Stock of Outcomes and Economic Returns from Early Childhood Programs
The past two decades have been characterized by a growing body of research from diverse …
The past two decades have been characterized by a growing body of research from diverse disciplines - child development, psychology, neuroscience, and economics, among others - demonstrating the importance of establishing a strong foundation in the early years of life. The research evidence has served to document the range of early childhood services that can successfully put children and families on the path toward lifelong health and well-being, especially those at greatest risk of poor…
Benefit-Cost Analysis | Health/Medicine | Evidence Synthesis | Child/Nutrition | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Education/Labor -
Resource PortalWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2024Decision Sciences Institute
The Decision Sciences Institute (DSI) was founded in 1968 as the American Institute for the …
The Decision Sciences Institute (DSI) was founded in 1968 as the American Institute for the Decision Sciences (renamed to the Decision Science Institute in 1986). DSI is an independent non-profit organization with a mission to enrich the discipline of decision sciences and improve educational programs and instruction in decision sciences. DSI conducts annual meetings at the national and the regional levels, and produces a monthly news publication called “Decision Line” as well as two journals,…
Operations Research | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Global | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
ReportPublication 2016Economics of Tobacco and Tobacco Control
This report examines the current research and evidence base surrounding the economics of tobacco control—including tobacco …
This report examines the current research and evidence base surrounding the economics of tobacco control—including tobacco use, tobacco growing, manufacturing and trade, tobacco product taxes and prices, and tobacco control policies and other interventions to reduce tobacco use and its consequences. The report was co-produced by the National Cancer Institute and the World Health Organization and is intended to inform tobacco prevention and control programs and policies in countries around the world. There are 17 chapters which can be…
Benefit-Cost Analysis | Health/Medicine | Costing Methods | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Food/Agriculture | Government/Law | Global -
ArticlePublication 2014Evaluation of FDA Benefit-Cost Analysis of Graphic Warning Labels
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is required to do a regulatory impact analysis assessing …
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is required to do a regulatory impact analysis assessing the costs and benefits of its tobacco products and other regulations. This paper provides a critical review of the approach the FDA used in its proposed and final graphic warning label rule, and includes recommendations on how to improve the analysis in ways that account for the differences between tobacco use and consumption of most consumer products. To date, FDA…
Benefit-Cost Analysis | Health/Medicine | Costing Methods | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Government/Law | North America -
Tutorial/PrimerPublication, Teaching Resource 2017Bayesian Methods for Calibrating Health Policy Models: A Tutorial
This article provides a tutorial on Bayesian approaches for model calibration. It describes the theoretical …
This article provides a tutorial on Bayesian approaches for model calibration. It describes the theoretical basis for Bayesian calibration approaches as well as pragmatic considerations that arise in the tasks of creating calibration targets, estimating the posterior distribution, and obtaining results to inform the policy decision. These considerations, as well as the specific steps for implementing the calibration, are described in the context of an extended worked example about the policy choice to provide (or…
Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Infectious Diseases -
ArticlePublication 2017Using Data-Driven Agent-Based Models to Forecast Emerging Infectious Diseases
This paper describes an agent-based model framework developed to forecast the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, which …
This paper describes an agent-based model framework developed to forecast the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, which was subsequently used in the Ebola forecasting challenge. Producing timely and reliable forecasts for an epidemic of an emerging infectious disease is a challenge. Epidemiologists and policy makers have to deal with poor data quality, limited understanding of the disease dynamics, a rapidly changing social environment and the uncertainty around the effects of various interventions in place. In this setting,…
Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Microsimulation | Dynamic Simulation | Infectious Diseases | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ReviewPublication 2017Validation and Calibration of Structural Models that Combine Information from Multiple Sources
This is a review of calibration and validation methods in mathematical modeling. Such models that …
This is a review of calibration and validation methods in mathematical modeling. Such models that attempt to capture structural relationships between their components and combine information from multiple sources are increasingly used in medicine. The authors provide an overview of methods for model validation and calibration and survey studies comparing alternative approaches. Model validation entails a confrontation of models with data, background knowledge, and other models, and can inform judgments about model credibility. Calibration involves…
Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models