Resources Repository
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ArticlePublication 2007Decision Analysis: A Personal Account of How It Got Started and Evolved
In this chapter, Howard Raiffa discusses the evolution of decision analysis and his personal involvement …
In this chapter, Howard Raiffa discusses the evolution of decision analysis and his personal involvement in its development. He describes the early days of Operations Research (OR) in the late 1940s with its approach to complex, strategic decision making. After reading John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern’s Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (1947) and Abraham Wald’s two books (1947, 1950), he became involved in statistical decision theory. A few years later, after reading Leonard…
Health/Medicine | Business/Industry | Decision Theory | Probability/Bayes | Preferences/Values | Decision Analysis | Operations Research | Economics/Finance | Energy/Engineering -
ArticlePublication 2016Estimating the Cost-Effectiveness of Implementation: Is Sufficient Evidence Available?
Timely implementation of recommended interventions can provide health benefits to patients and cost savings to …
Timely implementation of recommended interventions can provide health benefits to patients and cost savings to the health service provider. Effective approaches to increase the implementation of guidance are needed. Since investment in activities that improve implementation competes for funding against other health generating interventions, it should be assessed in term of its costs and benefits. In 2010, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence released a clinical guideline recommending natriuretic peptide (NP) testing in…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Operations Research | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Systems | Clinical Care | Economics/Finance | Europe -
ArticlePublication 2024Extended Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Interventions to Improve Uptake of Diabetes Services in South Africa
This study examines the potential impact of a conditional cash transfer (CCT) program on diabetes …
This study examines the potential impact of a conditional cash transfer (CCT) program on diabetes diagnosis and treatment service utilization in South Africa (SA) using extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA). Applying a Markov model over a 45-year period, the analysis compares costs, health benefits, and financial risk protection (FRP) attributes of different CCT strategies, drawing from SA-specific data. Three scenarios were simulated: covering diagnosis services only, treatment services only, and both diagnosis and treatment services. Cost-effectiveness,…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ArticlePublication 2013Modeling the Effectiveness of Initial Management Strategies for Ductal Carcinoma in Situ
This paper compares alternative strategies to manage ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). The authors used …
This paper compares alternative strategies to manage ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). The authors used a disease simulation model to simulate the clinical events after six treatments (lumpectomy alone, lumpectomy with radiation, lumpectomy with radiation and tamoxifen, lumpectomy with tamoxifen, and mastectomy with and without breast reconstruction). Outcomes included disease-free, invasive disease-free, overall survival and breast preservation. Data were from the published literature. The results showed that for women aged 45 years at diagnosis, both mastectomy…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Decision Analysis | Clinical Care -
ArticlePublication 2023Alternative Measure of Health for Value Assessment: Equal Value Life-Year
This study examines the equal value life-year (evLY) as an alternative or complementary measure to …
This study examines the equal value life-year (evLY) as an alternative or complementary measure to the quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) in cost-effectiveness analyses. The QALY is criticized for undervaluing treatments that extend the life of individuals with chronic disabilities. The evLY addresses this by assigning equal value to life-years, regardless of health status. Methods included presenting the conceptual rationale for the evLY, explaining its estimation, and comparing results from evLY-based analyses to QALY-based analyses. The study…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Preferences/Values | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis -
ArticlePublication 2023Estimating the US Baseline Distribution of Health Inequalities Across Race, Ethnicity, Geography for Equity-Informative CEA
This study addresses disparities in health outcomes among racial and ethnic groups in the United …
This study addresses disparities in health outcomes among racial and ethnic groups in the United States using Bayesian models to handle suppressed mortality data. By linking multiple US data sets, it demonstrates significant variations in life expectancy, disability-free life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy based on race, ethnicity, and geographic location. Results show that disparities persist and widen with age, especially between the best-off and worst-off subgroups in socially vulnerable counties. Life expectancy, disability-free life…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Social Determinants | North America -
ArticlePublication 2008Cost-Effectiveness of Rapid Point-of-Care Prenatal Syphilis Screening in Sub-Saharan Africa
This paper investigates the cost-effectiveness of using rapid point-of-care tests for prenatal syphilis screening among …
This paper investigates the cost-effectiveness of using rapid point-of-care tests for prenatal syphilis screening among pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa, a region with syphilis prevalence rates as high as 17%, and where traditional multi-test screening methods have been challenging to implement. Focusing on newly available rapid point-of-care screening tests, strategies differed by the initial test [rapid plasma reagin (RPR), immunochromographic strip (ICS)], need for confirmation with Treponema pallidum hemagglutination assay, and number of visits required.…
Health/Medicine | Costing Methods | Test Performance | Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Technology Assessment | Infectious Diseases | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Clinical Care | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ArticlePublication 2023Benefits and Costs of COVID-19 Vaccine Mandates
Written mid-pandemic, this article evaluates the direct costs and health benefits of requiring COVID-19 vaccinations …
Written mid-pandemic, this article evaluates the direct costs and health benefits of requiring COVID-19 vaccinations for U.S. federal employees and healthcare and private sector workers. These mandates were controversial and some were halted by litigation. If they had been implemented as intended, the net benefits would depend on the course of the pandemic. If a more transmissible variant (such as Omicron) emerges, the net benefits may be large. If the pandemic instead fades, the benefits…
Health/Medicine | Business/Industry | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Benefit-Cost Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance | Government/Law | North America -
ArticlePublication 2023Effects of Public Financing of Essential Maternal and Child Health Interventions Across Wealth Quintiles in Nigeria: An Extended Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
This study evaluates the potential health and financial risk protection benefits of public financing for …
This study evaluates the potential health and financial risk protection benefits of public financing for maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH) interventions in Nigeria, focusing on different wealth quintiles. Employing extended cost-effectiveness analysis, the research assesses the impact of a policy ensuring zero out-of-pocket costs for 18 essential MNCH services. Three scenarios were modeled: status quo, uniform scale-up, and pro-poor scale-up. Findings suggest that a 5% increase in coverage for all quintiles could prevent significant…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Policy/Regulation | Sub-Saharan Africa