Resources Repository
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ArticlePublication 2008Mathematical Models of Cervical Cancer Prevention in Latin America and the Caribbean
This article reports on a model-based approach estimated averted cervical cancer cases and deaths, disability-adjusted …
This article reports on a model-based approach estimated averted cervical cancer cases and deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (I$/DALY averted) for human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination of young adolescent girls using population and epidemiologic data for 33 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The authors found that an absolute reduction in lifetime cancer risk varied between countries, depending on incidence, proportion attributable to HPV-16 and 18, and population age-structure; for…
Microsimulation | Costing Methods | Health/Medicine | State-Transition | Calibration/Validation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Economics/Finance | Science/Technology | Latin America & Caribbean -
ArticlePublication 2007Decision Analysis: A Personal Account of How It Got Started and Evolved
In this chapter, Howard Raiffa discusses the evolution of decision analysis and his personal involvement …
In this chapter, Howard Raiffa discusses the evolution of decision analysis and his personal involvement in its development. He describes the early days of Operations Research (OR) in the late 1940s with its approach to complex, strategic decision making. After reading John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern’s Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (1947) and Abraham Wald’s two books (1947, 1950), he became involved in statistical decision theory. A few years later, after reading Leonard…
Preferences/Values | Probability/Bayes | Health/Medicine | Decision Theory | Decision Analysis | Operations Research | Business/Industry | Economics/Finance | Energy/Engineering -
ArticlePublication 2007Economic Evaluation of Hepatitis B Vaccination in Low-Income Countries: Cost-Effectiveness Affordability Curves
In the face of uncertainties about both the health and economic consequences of a vaccine …
In the face of uncertainties about both the health and economic consequences of a vaccine program, as well as the availability and magnitude of resources needed to fund the program, cost-effectiveness affordability curves can provide information to decision-makers about the probability that a program will be both cost-effective and affordable: these are distinct but equally relevant considerations in resource-poor settings. This paper describes the application of this method to assess a hepatitis B vaccination program in the…
Microsimulation | Costing Methods | Health/Medicine | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Health Systems | Economics/Finance | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ReviewPublication 2006Ethical Issues in Resource Allocation, Research, and New Product Development
Ethical dilemmas arising in setting priorities among interventions and among individuals in need of care …
Ethical dilemmas arising in setting priorities among interventions and among individuals in need of care are most acute when needs are great and resources few. This chapter from the Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries 2nd edition addresses some of these concerns, identifying some of the principal ethical issues that arise in the development and allocation of effective interventions for developing countries and discussing some alternative resolutions. Resource allocation in health and elsewhere should satisfy two main…
Priority Setting/Ethics | Preferences/Values | Health/Medicine | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Culture/Society | Government/Law | Science/Technology -
ReviewPublication 2001Modeling for Health Care and Other Policy Decisions: Uses, Roles and Validity
This is a review article of the role of modeling approaches to guide decision making …
This is a review article of the role of modeling approaches to guide decision making in health care and other domains. The role of models to support recommendations on the cost-effective use of medical technologies and pharmaceuticals is controversial. At the heart of the controversy is the degree to which experimental or other empirical evidence should be required prior to model use. The authors argue that the controversy stems in part from a misconception that…
Priority Setting/Ethics | Technology Assessment | Health/Medicine | Evidence Synthesis | Mathematical Models | Environmental Health | Health Systems | Policy/Regulation | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Economics/Finance | Energy/Engineering | Government/Law | North America -
ArticlePublication 2024Hepatitis C Elimination in Rwanda: Progress, Feasibility, Economic Evaluation
This study evaluates the impact of Rwanda's national program launched in 2018 to eliminate hepatitis …
This study evaluates the impact of Rwanda's national program launched in 2018 to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) and identifies strategies to achieve World Health Organization (WHO) elimination goals by 2030. Employing a microsimulation model spanning 2015 to 2050, the analysis assesses HCV epidemic trends, prevalence, mortality, and total care costs under various scenarios. Results show that between 2018 and 2022, over 7 million people were screened and 60,000 treated, projecting Rwanda's potential achievement of…
Microsimulation | Health/Medicine | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ArticlePublication 2023Catalogues of EQ-5D-3L Health-Related Quality of Life Scores for 199 Chronic Conditions and Health Risks for Use in the UK & the U.S.
This study aimed to create UK and US EQ-5D-3L-based health-related quality of life (HRQoL) utility …
This study aimed to create UK and US EQ-5D-3L-based health-related quality of life (HRQoL) utility population catalogues for 199 chronic conditions using ICD-10 codes and health risks. It also sought to develop regression models to predict these utilities in other populations. Methods involved applying UK and US EQ-5D-3L value sets to responses from a Danish dataset, which combined national health survey data with national registers containing patient information on diagnoses, healthcare activities, and socio-demographics. Adjusted…
Preferences/Values | Health/Medicine | Health Outcomes | North America | Europe -
ArticlePublication 2023Context-Specific Estimation of Future Unrelated Medical Costs and Their Impact on CEAs
This study developed and applied methods to estimate unrelated future medical costs (UFMC) for women …
This study developed and applied methods to estimate unrelated future medical costs (UFMC) for women with breast cancer in Israel and evaluated the impact of including UFMC in cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs). Methods included a retrospective cohort study using 14 years of patient-level claims data from breast cancer patients and matched controls. UFMC were estimated through (a) the annual average all-cause healthcare costs of control subjects, and (b) predicted values from a generalized linear model (GLM)…
Costing Methods | Health/Medicine | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Middle East & North Africa -
ArticlePublication 2023Alternative Measure of Health for Value Assessment: Equal Value Life-Year
This study examines the equal value life-year (evLY) as an alternative or complementary measure to …
This study examines the equal value life-year (evLY) as an alternative or complementary measure to the quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) in cost-effectiveness analyses. The QALY is criticized for undervaluing treatments that extend the life of individuals with chronic disabilities. The evLY addresses this by assigning equal value to life-years, regardless of health status. Methods included presenting the conceptual rationale for the evLY, explaining its estimation, and comparing results from evLY-based analyses to QALY-based analyses. The study…
Preferences/Values | Health/Medicine | Health Outcomes | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis