- decision theory
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Resources Repository
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ArticlePublication 2021Health Opportunity Cost Threshold for CEA in the U.S.
Using a modeled cohort of 100,000 individuals in the United States with private health insurance, …
Using a modeled cohort of 100,000 individuals in the United States with private health insurance, the authors simulated the short-term mortality and morbidity resulting from increased premium related cancelation of insurance coverage. The authors used this model to estimate cost-effectiveness thresholds, in dollars per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained based on health opportunity costs. They reported the number of persons who dropped insurance coverage, resulting number of additional deaths and QALYs lost from mortality and…
Evidence Synthesis | Priority Setting/Ethics | Microsimulation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Policy/Regulation -
BookPublication 2016Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Health: A Practical Approach, 3rd Edition
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Health provides an introduction to the tools, methods, and procedures used to perform cost-effectiveness research. …
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Health provides an introduction to the tools, methods, and procedures used to perform cost-effectiveness research. This third edition contains new discussion on meta-analysis and advanced modeling techniques, a worked example using visual modeling software TreeAge Pro, and updated recommendations from the U.S. Public Health Service's Panel on Cost-Effectiveness in Health and Medicine. The book provides process-specific instruction in a concise, structured format to highlight common methods and techniques for: 1) Developing a thoroughly fleshed-out research project; 2) Working…
Evidence Synthesis | Technology Assessment | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Preferences/Values | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance -
ArticlePublication 2015A Conceptual Model for Breast, Cervical, and Colorectal Cancer Screening
General frameworks of the cancer screening process are available, but none directly compare the process …
General frameworks of the cancer screening process are available, but none directly compare the process in detail across different organ sites. This limits the ability of medical and public health professionals to develop and evaluate coordinated screening programs that apply resources and population management strategies available for one cancer site to other sites. This paper presents a conceptual model that incorporates a single screening episode for breast, cervical, and colorectal cancers into a unified framework based…
Evidence Synthesis | Microsimulation | Test Performance | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Preferences/Values | Chronic Disease/Risk | Clinical Care | Science/Technology -
ArticlePublication 2015Population Health Model (POHEM): An Overview
This paper provides an overview of the rationale, methodology and applications of the Population Health …
This paper provides an overview of the rationale, methodology and applications of the Population Health Model (POHEM). POHEM is a health microsimulation model, developed at Statistics Canada in the early 1990s. The authors describe that POHEM draws together rich multivariate data from a wide range of sources to simulate the lifecycle of the Canadian population, specifically focusing on aspects of health. The model dynamically simulates individuals’ disease states, risk factors, and health determinants, in order…
Evidence Synthesis | Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Costing Methods | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Clinical Care | Economics/Finance -
Online LearningVideo, Teaching Resource 2017Forum. The Opioid Crisis: A Governors Roundtable
Opioid overdoses claim the lives of 91 Americans every day, according to the Centers for …
Opioid overdoses claim the lives of 91 Americans every day, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. This Forum - The Opioid Crisis: A Governors Roundtable, is part of the series, Policy Controversies, and was presented jointly with PRI’s The World & WGBH News. In this multimedia forum, four former governors offered candid insights into how government policy can help, exploring what works and what doesn’t. They spoke about experiences within their own…
Priority Setting/Ethics | Health Outcomes | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Chronic Disease/Risk | Mental Health | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Policy Translation -
ArticlePublication 2017Cost-Effectiveness of Testing and Treatment for Latent TB
Testing for and treating latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is among the main strategies to achieve …
Testing for and treating latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is among the main strategies to achieve TB elimination in the United States. This analysis estimated health outcomes, costs, and cost-effectiveness of LTBI testing and treatment among non-US born residents with and without medical comorbidities (e.g., diabetes, HIV infection, and end-stage renal disease). A decision analytic tree and Markov cohort simulation model was used to compare the following strategies: no testing, tuberculin skin test (TST), interferon gamma release assay…
Microsimulation | Test Performance | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | State-Transition | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Economics/Finance | Global -
GuidelinesPublication 2016Decision Models in Clinical Preventive Services Recommendations
The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) develops evidence-based recommendations about preventive care based on …
The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) develops evidence-based recommendations about preventive care based on comprehensive systematic reviews of the best available evidence. Decision models provide a complementary, quantitative approach to support the USPSTF as it deliberates about the evidence and develops recommendations for clinical and policy use. This article describes the rationale for using modeling, an approach to selecting topics for modeling, and how modeling may inform recommendations about clinical preventive services.
Evidence Synthesis | Mathematical Models | Decision Analysis | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Policy/Regulation -
GuidelinesPublication 2016Estimating Health-State Utility for Economic Models: ISPOR Task Force Report
Cost-utility models are increasingly used in many countries to establish whether the cost of a …
Cost-utility models are increasingly used in many countries to establish whether the cost of a new intervention can be justified in terms of health benefits. Health-state utility (HSU) estimates (the preference for a given state of health on a cardinal scale where 0 represents dead and 1 represents full health) are typically among the most important and uncertain data inputs in cost-utility models. Clinical trials represent an important opportunity for the collection of health-utility data.…
Mathematical Models | Technology Assessment | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems | Preferences/Values | Science/Technology | Europe -
ReportPublication 2015Improving Diagnosis in Health Care
Getting the right diagnosis is a key aspect of health care - it provides an …
Getting the right diagnosis is a key aspect of health care - it provides an explanation of a patient's health problem and informs subsequent health care decisions. The diagnostic process is a complex, collaborative activity that involves clinical reasoning and information gathering to determine a patient's health problem. This report, Improving Diagnosis in Health Care, explains that diagnostic errors-inaccurate or delayed diagnoses-persist throughout all settings of care and continue to harm an unacceptable number of patients.…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Health Outcomes | Value of Information | Health/Medicine | North America | Health Systems