Resources Repository
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ArticlePublication 2023Simulation-Based Comparative Effectiveness Analysis of Policies to Improve Global Maternal Health Outcomes
The Sustainable Development Goals include a target to reduce the global maternal mortality ratio (MMR) …
The Sustainable Development Goals include a target to reduce the global maternal mortality ratio (MMR) to less than 70 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births by 2030, with no individual country exceeding 140. However, on current trends the goals are unlikely to be met. The authors used an empirically calibrated Global Maternal Health microsimulation model, which simulates individual women in 200 countries and territories to evaluate the impact of different interventions and strategies from 2022…
Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Clinical Care -
ArticlePublication 2023Simulation-Based Estimates and Projections of Global, Regional and Country-Level Maternal Mortality by Cause, 1990-2050
While progress has been made globally to reduce maternal deaths, measurement remains a challenge given …
While progress has been made globally to reduce maternal deaths, measurement remains a challenge given the many causes and frequent underreporting of maternal deaths. The authors developed a structural microsimulation model of Global Maternal Health (GMatH) for 200 countries and territories using demographic, epidemiologic, clinical and health system data synthesized from the medical literature, Civil Registration Vital Statistics systems and Demographic and Health Survey data. The model was calibrated to empirical data from 1990 to…
Microsimulation | Calibration/Validation | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Evidence Synthesis | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Clinical Care -
ArticlePublication 2017Likelihood Approach for Calibration of Stochastic Epidemic Models
Stochastic transmission dynamic models are especially useful for studying the early emergence of novel pathogens …
Stochastic transmission dynamic models are especially useful for studying the early emergence of novel pathogens given the importance of chance events when the number of infectious individuals is small. However, methods for parameter estimation and prediction for these types of stochastic models remain limited. This paper describes a calibration and prediction framework for stochastic compartmental transmission models of epidemics. The proposed method applies a linear noise approximation to describe the size of the fluctuations, and…
Dynamic Simulation | Calibration/Validation | Dynamic Transmission | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Infectious Diseases -
ArticlePublication 2014Cost-Effectiveness of Female HPV Vaccination in 179 Countries: A PRIME Modelling Study
The authors present a simple generic model, Papillomavirus Rapid Interface for Modelling and Economics (PRIME), …
The authors present a simple generic model, Papillomavirus Rapid Interface for Modelling and Economics (PRIME), used to assess cost-effectiveness and health effects of vaccination of girls against HPV before sexual debut in terms of burden of cervical cancer and mortality. The PRIME models incidence according to proposed vaccine efficacy against HPV 16/18, vaccine coverage, cervical cancer incidence and mortality, and HPV type distribution. It assumes lifelong vaccine protection and no changes to other screening programs…
Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Chronic Disease/Risk | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2011Dynamic Policies for Controlling Spread of Emerging Infections
This paper illustrates the design and implementation of a dynamic health policy for the control …
This paper illustrates the design and implementation of a dynamic health policy for the control of a novel strain of influenza, where two types of interventions are assumed to be available during the epidemic: (1) vaccines and antiviral drugs, and (2) transmission reducing measures, such as social distancing or mask use, that may be turned "on" or "off" repeatedly during the course of epidemic. A modeling approach is described for developing dynamic health policies that allow…
Dynamic Simulation | Mathematical Models | Dynamic Transmission | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Infectious Diseases | Policy/Regulation | Science/Technology -
ReportPublication 2018Human Development Indices and Indicators: 2018 Statistical Update
This report from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) presents the latest reporting on key …
This report from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) presents the latest reporting on key human development indices and statistics. It provides a snapshot of current conditions and long-term trends and culminates with a comprehensive statistical annex of human development composite indices and indicators across several dimensions (e.g., health, education, poverty, and inequality). The publication emphasizes that while people are living longer and are more educated than ever before, this may not automatically translate to…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Social Determinants | Evidence Synthesis | Climate/Environment | Economics/Finance | Education/Labor | Science/Technology -
ReportPublication 2019Human Development Report 2019: Beyond Income, Beyond Averages, Beyond Today
This 2019 Human Development Report, published annually by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), explores …
This 2019 Human Development Report, published annually by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), explores the contemporary nature of inequalities in human development. Additional resources include digital versions and translations of the Report and the overview in more than 10 languages, an interactive web version of the Report, a set of background papers and think pieces commissioned for the Report, interactive data visualizations and databases of human development indicators, full explanations of the sources and…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Social Determinants | Evidence Synthesis | Climate/Environment | Economics/Finance | Education/Labor | Science/Technology -
ReportPublication 2019Top 10 Health Economics and Outcomes Research Trends
As governments and other payers struggle with provision of the best possible health outcomes at …
As governments and other payers struggle with provision of the best possible health outcomes at affordable costs, the field of health economics and outcomes research (HEOR) has experienced rapid growth. The International Society for Pharmacoeconomics Outcomes Research (ISPOR) produced the ISPOR 2019 Top 10 HEOR Trends which serves to outline the top 10 that the Society members identified that will be the most impactful during 2019. Development of this report included a comprehensive review and…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Global Governance | Science/Technology -
ReportPublication 2017DCP3: Improving Health and Reducing Poverty
This report from the World Bank is the ninth and final volume of the Disease …
This report from the World Bank is the ninth and final volume of the Disease Control Priorities, Third Edition (DCP3) series. It provides an overview of the findings and methods explored in the first eight volumes, placing them within a framework that identifies an efficient pathway toward essential universal health coverage through the implementation of 21 essential packages that include health interventions and fiscal and intersectoral policies. The Disease Control Priorities Network (DCP) promotes and…
Health Outcomes | Health/Medicine | Global | Health Systems | Social Determinants | Costing Methods | Evidence Synthesis | Benefit-Cost Analysis | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Maternal/Reproductive Health | Child/Nutrition | Chronic Disease/Risk | Mental Health | Injuries/Accidents | Policy/Regulation | Global Governance | Economics/Finance | Government/Law | Science/Technology