Resources Repository
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ReviewPublication 2016Decision Support for Infectious Disease Control
This report from RAND reviews decision-support tools, including models and nonmodeling approaches, that are relevant to …
This report from RAND reviews decision-support tools, including models and nonmodeling approaches, that are relevant to infectious disease prevention, detection, and response and aligns these tools with real-world policy questions that the tools can help address. This overview is designed to help modelers and other technical experts understand the questions that policymakers will raise and the decisions they must make. The report also presents policymakers with the capabilities and limitations of the different tools that may…
Dynamic Simulation | Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Dynamic Transmission | State-Transition | Health/Medicine | Global | Global Governance | Infectious Diseases | Government/Law | Military/Defense -
ArticlePublication 2014Cost-Effectiveness of Female HPV Vaccination in 179 Countries: A PRIME Modelling Study
The authors present a simple generic model, Papillomavirus Rapid Interface for Modelling and Economics (PRIME), …
The authors present a simple generic model, Papillomavirus Rapid Interface for Modelling and Economics (PRIME), used to assess cost-effectiveness and health effects of vaccination of girls against HPV before sexual debut in terms of burden of cervical cancer and mortality. The PRIME models incidence according to proposed vaccine efficacy against HPV 16/18, vaccine coverage, cervical cancer incidence and mortality, and HPV type distribution. It assumes lifelong vaccine protection and no changes to other screening programs…
Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific | Global | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Outcomes | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Health Systems | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean -
ArticlePublication 2013Estimated Mortality Impact of Vaccinations 2011–2020 in 73 GAVI Alliance Countries
From August to December 2011, a multidisciplinary group with expertise in mathematical modeling was constituted …
From August to December 2011, a multidisciplinary group with expertise in mathematical modeling was constituted by the GAVI Alliance and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to estimate the impact of vaccination in 73 countries supported by the GAVI Alliance. The number of deaths averted in persons projected to be vaccinated during 2011–2020 was estimated for ten antigens: hepatitis B, yellow fever, Haemophilus influenzae type B (Hib), Streptococcus pneumoniae, rotavirus, Neisseria meningitidis serogroup A, Japanese…
Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Dynamic Transmission | State-Transition | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific | Global Governance | Health Outcomes | Infectious Diseases | Economics/Finance | Science/Technology | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean -
ArticlePublication 2008Mathematical Models of Cervical Cancer Prevention in the Asia Pacific Region
This article reports on a model-based approach to estimate averted cervical cancer cases and deaths, …
This article reports on a model-based approach to estimate averted cervical cancer cases and deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (I$/DALY averted) for vaccination of young adolescent girls against human papillomavirus (HPV) types 16 and 18. The authors used population-based and epidemiologic data for 25 countries in Asia (22 GAVI-Alliance eligible countries, Thailand, China and Japan). They found that an absolute reduction in lifetime cancer risk varied across countries, depending on incidence,…
Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific | Chronic Disease/Risk | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Health Systems | Economics/Finance | Science/Technology -
ArticlePublication 2008Development of an Empirically Calibrated Model of Gastric Cancer in Two High-Risk Countries
This paper presents an empirically calibrated mathematical model of gastric cancer and H. pylori in …
This paper presents an empirically calibrated mathematical model of gastric cancer and H. pylori in China and Colombia to provide qualitative insight into the cost-effectiveness of gastric cancer prevention strategies. Despite studies that have established the relationship between Helicobacter pylori and gastric cancer and H. pylori treatment reducing cancer incidence among individuals without preexisting precancerous lesions, screening for H. pylori is still being debated. The authors synthesized…!--?xml:namespace prefix = "o" ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /-->
Microsimulation | Mathematical Models | Calibration/Validation | Health/Medicine | Asia & Pacific | Chronic Disease/Risk | Infectious Diseases | Latin America & Caribbean -
ReviewPublication 2023Systematic Review of Cost-Effectiveness Studies of Newer Non-Insulin Antidiabetic Drugs: Trends in Decision-Analytical Models for Modelling of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
This systematic review analyzed cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) using decision-analytical modeling (DAM) to compare non-insulin antidiabetic …
This systematic review analyzed cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) using decision-analytical modeling (DAM) to compare non-insulin antidiabetic drugs (NIADs) within glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP1) receptor agonists, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors for treating type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The study focused on economic results and underlying methodological choices. Methods included searching PubMed, Embase, and Econlit databases from January 1, 2018, to November 15, 2022. Two reviewers screened titles, abstracts, and full texts for relevance…
Evidence Synthesis | Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | Europe | Chronic Disease/Risk | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis -
ReviewPublication 2023Economic & Humanistic Burden of Osteoarthritis: Systematic Review of Large Sample Studies
This study systematically reviewed and updated the economic and humanistic burden of osteoarthritis (OA) reported …
This study systematically reviewed and updated the economic and humanistic burden of osteoarthritis (OA) reported by large sample studies since 2016. Medline (via Ovid) and Embase were searched using an updated strategy based on a previous review. Studies with a sample size ≥1000 that measured direct or indirect costs or health-related quality of life (HRQL) of OA were included. Pairs of reviewers independently screened studies, and an arbitrator resolved discrepancies. The Kappa value for agreement…
Evidence Synthesis | Preferences/Values | Health/Medicine | Global | Chronic Disease/Risk | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis -
ArticlePublication 2017Modeled Health Benefits of a SSB Tax across Different Socioeconomic Groups in Australia
This analysis assessed the potential cost-effectiveness, health gains, and financial impacts of a 20% sugar-sweetened …
This analysis assessed the potential cost-effectiveness, health gains, and financial impacts of a 20% sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) tax for Australia. Australia-specific price elasticities were used to predict decreases in SSB consumption for each socio-economic quintile. Changes in body mass index (BMI) were based on SSB consumption, BMI from the Australian Health Survey, and energy balance equations. Markov cohort models were used to estimate the health-adjusted life years (HALYs) gained, healthcare costs saved, and out-of-pocket costs…
Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Health/Medicine | Oceania | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance | Food/Agriculture | Government/Law -
ArticlePublication 2017Cost-Effectiveness of Testing and Treatment for Latent TB
Testing for and treating latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is among the main strategies to achieve …
Testing for and treating latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is among the main strategies to achieve TB elimination in the United States. This analysis estimated health outcomes, costs, and cost-effectiveness of LTBI testing and treatment among non-US born residents with and without medical comorbidities (e.g., diabetes, HIV infection, and end-stage renal disease). A decision analytic tree and Markov cohort simulation model was used to compare the following strategies: no testing, tuberculin skin test (TST), interferon gamma release assay…
Microsimulation | State-Transition | Health/Medicine | Global | Chronic Disease/Risk | Test Performance | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Infectious Diseases | Health Systems | Economics/Finance | North America