Resources Repository
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Resource PackWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018Resource Pack: Mental Health and Modeling
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, features resources on modeling …
This resource pack, curated by the Center for Health Decision Science, features resources on modeling approaches applied to mental health. We aim to provide an overview of different techniques to guide researchers and practitioners in applying decision science and economic modeling to this public health challenge. More specifically, this resource pack contains review articles comparing different modeling techniques in the evaluation of treatments for depression, bipolar disorder and schizophrenia. The majority of articles in this…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Costing Methods | Health Outcomes | Evidence Synthesis | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Mental Health | Health/Medicine | North America | Europe -
ArticlePublication 2017Simulation of Growth Trajectories of Childhood Obesity into Adulthood
The authors developed a simulation model to estimate the risk of adult obesity at the age …
The authors developed a simulation model to estimate the risk of adult obesity at the age of 35 years for the current population of children in the United States. They used pooled height and weight data from five nationally representative longitudinal studies totaling 176,720 observations from 41,567 children and adults to simulate growth trajectories across the life course adjusted for secular trends. Using 1,000 virtual populations of 1 million children through the age of 19 years, representative of the…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Outcomes | Child/Nutrition | Health/Medicine | North America -
ArticlePublication 2017Cost-Effectiveness of Screening for Hypertension and Counseling for Prevention
This article aimed to compare the health and economic impact of 3 services recommended by …
This article aimed to compare the health and economic impact of 3 services recommended by the US Preventive Services Task Force for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD): (1) aspirin counseling for the primary prevention of CVD and colorectal cancer, (2) screening and treatment for lipid disorders (usually high cholesterol), and (3) screening and treatment for hypertension. A microsimulation model was used to compare lifetime outcomes from the societal perspective for a US-representative birth…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Policy/Regulation | Clinical Care | Health/Medicine | North America -
ArticlePublication 2017Cost-Effectiveness of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control
Based on data from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), the authors of this …
Based on data from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), the authors of this article compared the cost-effectiveness of intensive versus standard control in adults at high risk for cardiovascular disease who received intensive systolic blood-pressure control. A microsimulation model was used to project lifetime costs of treatment and monitoring, cardiovascular disease events and subsequent treatment costs, treatment-related risks of serious adverse events and subsequent costs, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for the two strategies.…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Outcomes | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | North America -
ArticlePublication 2017Estimated Economic Impact of Vaccinations in 73 LMIC, 2001-2020
This analysis estimates the economic impact likely to be achieved by efforts to vaccinate against 10 …
This analysis estimates the economic impact likely to be achieved by efforts to vaccinate against 10 vaccine-preventable diseases between 2001 and 2020 in 73 low- and middle-income countries largely supported by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. The authors used health impact models to estimate the economic impact of achieving forecasted coverages for vaccination against Haemophilus influenzae type b, hepatitis B, human papillomavirus, Japanese encephalitis, measles, Neisseria meningitidis serogroup A, rotavirus, rubella, Streptococcus pneumoniae and yellow fever. In…
Microsimulation | Infectious Diseases | Health Outcomes | State-Transition | Dynamic Transmission | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Health Systems | Economics/Finance | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa | Middle East & North Africa | Latin America & Caribbean | Asia & Pacific -
ArticlePublication 2017Cost-Effectiveness of Subsidizing Fruit and Vegetable through SNAP
A diet high in fruits and vegetables is associated with reduced risk of chronic disease …
A diet high in fruits and vegetables is associated with reduced risk of chronic disease - to incentivize consumption among low-income households one proposal is to make them more affordable through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). This cost effectiveness analysis adopts a societal perspective to estimate the value of subsidizing fruit and vegetable (FV) purchases among the one in seven Americans who participate in SNAP. A stochastic microsimulation model of obesity, type 2 diabetes, myocardial infarction,…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Mathematical Models | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Economics/Finance | Food/Agriculture | Health/Medicine | North America -
ArticlePublication 2017Using Data-Driven Agent-Based Models to Forecast Emerging Infectious Diseases
This paper describes an agent-based model framework developed to forecast the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, which …
This paper describes an agent-based model framework developed to forecast the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, which was subsequently used in the Ebola forecasting challenge. Producing timely and reliable forecasts for an epidemic of an emerging infectious disease is a challenge. Epidemiologists and policy makers have to deal with poor data quality, limited understanding of the disease dynamics, a rapidly changing social environment and the uncertainty around the effects of various interventions in place. In this setting,…
Microsimulation | Infectious Diseases | Calibration/Validation | Dynamic Simulation | Health/Medicine | Sub-Saharan Africa -
ArticlePublication 2016Cost-Effectiveness of Hypertension Treatment According to 2014 Guidelines
This article compared the cost-effectiveness of hypertension treatment in non-Hispanic blacks and non-Hispanic whites according …
This article compared the cost-effectiveness of hypertension treatment in non-Hispanic blacks and non-Hispanic whites according to 2014 US hypertension treatment guidelines. The cardiovascular disease (CVD) policy model was used to simulate CVD events, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and treatment costs in 35- to 74-year-old adults with untreated hypertension. CVD incidence, mortality, and risk factor levels were obtained from cohort studies, hospital registries, vital statistics, and national surveys. The authors assumed a willingness-to-pay for health of…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | North America -
ArticlePublication 2016Cost-Effectiveness of Blood Pressure Treatment Guidelines in Adults 35-74
In this article the authors used the CVD Policy Model to compare the cost-effectiveness of …
In this article the authors used the CVD Policy Model to compare the cost-effectiveness of conservative versus intensive blood pressure treatment guidelines in adult hypertensive patients aged 35 to 74 years. Outcomes included in the study were CVD events, treatment costs, quality-adjusted life years, and drug and monitoring costs projected over the years 2016 to 2026. The effectiveness and costs of hypertension were calculated for treatment according to the 2003 Joint National Committee (JNC)-7 or…
Microsimulation | Chronic Disease/Risk | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Clinical Care | Health/Medicine | North America