- theory and concepts
- decision theory
- probability/bayes
- preferences/values
- priority setting/ethics
- costing methods
- evidence synthesis
- models and tools
- mathematical models
- state-transition
- dynamic transmission
- microsimulation
- calibration/validation
- dynamic simulation
- decision analysis
- benefit-cost analysis
- technology assessment
Resources Repository
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Tutorial/PrimerWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2015Decision Theory
This chapter on normative decision theory is from the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, a dynamic reference …
This chapter on normative decision theory is from the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, a dynamic reference work available online. Decision theory is concerned with the reasoning underlying an person's choices, whether a mundane choice between taking the bus or getting a taxi, or a more far-reaching choice about whether to pursue a demanding political career. The orthodox normative decision theory, expected utility (EU) theory, essentially says that, in situations of uncertainty, one should prefer the option…
Preferences/Values | Decision Theory | Economics/Finance | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Resource PortalWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2024Decision Sciences Institute
The Decision Sciences Institute (DSI) was founded in 1968 as the American Institute for the …
The Decision Sciences Institute (DSI) was founded in 1968 as the American Institute for the Decision Sciences (renamed to the Decision Science Institute in 1986). DSI is an independent non-profit organization with a mission to enrich the discipline of decision sciences and improve educational programs and instruction in decision sciences. DSI conducts annual meetings at the national and the regional levels, and produces a monthly news publication called “Decision Line” as well as two journals,…
Decision Analysis | Operations Research | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Health/Medicine | Global | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Teaching PackWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018Teaching Pack: Teaching Prototypes for Decision Analysis
These videos, developed by Professor Myriam Hunink during an immersion residency at the Center for …
These videos, developed by Professor Myriam Hunink during an immersion residency at the Center for Health Decision Science (CHDS) Media Hub, reflect experiments to augment brick and mortar teaching with multimedia materials that emphasize visualization of basic concepts. The first video introduces decision making under uncertainty, and illustrates the use of probability and odds to quantitatively express uncertainty. The second and third videos introduce probability revision visually and analytically, showing how an initial probability is…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Value of Information | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Systems | Health/Medicine | North America | Europe | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
Resource PortalWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2024Guide to Health Economic Analysis & Research
The Guide to Health Economic Analysis & Research (GEAR) is a resource platform which aims …
The Guide to Health Economic Analysis & Research (GEAR) is a resource platform which aims to equip researchers and policy makers in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with the skills to conduct health economics research. While health economics research is well established in high-income countries, it is less prevalent in LMICs. The portal contains information about methodological difficulties in LMICs and allows users to compare recommendations from selected national guidelines in high- and middle-income countries.…
Technology Assessment | Costing Methods | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Health/Medicine | Global | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Policy Translation -
Online LearningVideo, Teaching Resource 2023Khan Videos: Conditional Probability
These three videos, produced by Khan Academy, focus on conditional probability. Conditional probability with Bayes' …
These three videos, produced by Khan Academy, focus on conditional probability. Conditional probability with Bayes' Theorem (~5 min). Created by Brit Cruise, this video presents conditional probability visually using trees. Conditional probability and independence (~4 min). This video uses conditional probability to see if events are independent or not. Conditional probability tree diagram (~11 min). This video uses a tree diagram to work out the following conditional probability question: If someone fails a drug test, what is the…
Probability/Bayes | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | High School | College | Graduate | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016Scientific Evidence of Factual Causation
This module examines three scientific areas that provide evidence bearing on causation in the “toxic …
This module examines three scientific areas that provide evidence bearing on causation in the “toxic tort” or environmental disease context: epidemiology, toxicology, and genetics. These scientific disciplines are used in civil lawsuits and in regulatory proceedings in which causation or risk is an issue. The module is appropriate for non-scientist law students as well as others interested in learning the science of toxic tort causation, including practicing attorneys, judges, and public policy and public health…
Evidence Synthesis | Risk Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Chronic Disease/Risk | Environmental Health | Policy/Regulation | Climate/Environment | Food/Agriculture | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016DNA Evidence: Case Study in Probabilities
This educational module on DNA evidence presents trial testimony, exhibits, and opinions in a case …
This educational module on DNA evidence presents trial testimony, exhibits, and opinions in a case in which federal courts at every level discerned “inaccuracies” in the testimony of a leading expert about probabilities associated with the DNA evidence. By embedding these legal materials in background explanations, critical questions, and short problems, the module supports self-study and class discussions that together can elucidate key principles in scientific reasoning and quantitative analysis and that can help students…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Risk Analysis | Injuries/Accidents | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016Placing a Bet: New Therapy for Parkinson's Disease
This module is intended for use by business school students. It examines the decision-making process …
This module is intended for use by business school students. It examines the decision-making process at a pharmaceutical company as its chief operating officer decides whether to invest in the development and licensing of a promising treatment for Parkinson’s disease. The module is structured around a drug development case that provides students with opportunities to: (1) analyze a rich and realistic description of the complex scientific and medical results associated with a promising therapeutic molecule…
Technology Assessment | Test Performance | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Business/Industry | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016Educational Module: Shale Gas Development
This module has been developed around the topic of the extraction of natural gas from …
This module has been developed around the topic of the extraction of natural gas from shale. This practice, commonly referred to as fracking, involves several practices that have complex and uncertain consequences. In the module, three scientific concepts are explored in order to elucidate how science is applied toward addressing real-world problems. The scientific concepts are: (1) correlation is not the same as causation, (2) hazard is not the same as risk, and (3) risk…
Probability/Bayes | Risk Analysis | Environmental Health | Policy/Regulation | Business/Industry | Climate/Environment | Energy/Engineering | Government/Law | Science/Technology | Global | North America | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership