Resources Repository
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Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016DNA Evidence: Case Study in Probabilities
This educational module on DNA evidence presents trial testimony, exhibits, and opinions in a case …
This educational module on DNA evidence presents trial testimony, exhibits, and opinions in a case in which federal courts at every level discerned “inaccuracies” in the testimony of a leading expert about probabilities associated with the DNA evidence. By embedding these legal materials in background explanations, critical questions, and short problems, the module supports self-study and class discussions that together can elucidate key principles in scientific reasoning and quantitative analysis and that can help students…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | North America | Global | Risk Analysis | Injuries/Accidents | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2023Resource Pack: Diagnostic Tests, Bayes, and COVID-19
This resource pack provides a curated set of articles, perspectives, and interactives about diagnostic testing …
This resource pack provides a curated set of articles, perspectives, and interactives about diagnostic testing for COVID-19. The pack provides materials that will be particularly useful for educators who are teaching diagnostic test performance, value of information, and probability revision using Bayes’ theorem. The majority of papers focus on PCR or rapid antigen testing on samples obtained from the respiratory tract by nasopharyngeal swab. The mechanism of false negative results (e.g., timing of sample collection…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Global | Value of Information | Decision Analysis | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Medical Decision Making and Decision Analysis
This video is intended to provide an introduction to decision analysis in the context of …
This video is intended to provide an introduction to decision analysis in the context of medicine and public health and includes a discussion of the goals and elements of a decision analysis, introduces the concept of decision trees, and highlights how Markov models can be used to consider more complex disease decisions. This video is part of the Conducting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with VA Data (HCEA) free course offered by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs…
North America | Mathematical Models | State-Transition | Decision Analysis | Health/Medicine | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Estimating Transition Probabilities for a Model
This video is intended to provide a discussion on various methods for deriving probabilities that are …
This video is intended to provide a discussion on various methods for deriving probabilities that are needed for decision models. Presented are the concepts of literature based Odds Ratios and Relative Risks, which need to be transformed into probabilities, how to deal with probability estimates from time frames not relevant to the model in question, and how to derive probabilities from published summary statistics. This lecture is aimed at the researcher who is interested in operationalizing…
Probability/Bayes | North America | Evidence Synthesis | Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy -
Teaching PackWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2018Teaching Pack: Teaching Prototypes for Decision Analysis
These videos, developed by Professor Myriam Hunink during an immersion residency at the Center for …
These videos, developed by Professor Myriam Hunink during an immersion residency at the Center for Health Decision Science (CHDS) Media Hub, reflect experiments to augment brick and mortar teaching with multimedia materials that emphasize visualization of basic concepts. The first video introduces decision making under uncertainty, and illustrates the use of probability and odds to quantitatively express uncertainty. The second and third videos introduce probability revision visually and analytically, showing how an initial probability is…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | North America | Value of Information | Chronic Disease/Risk | Health Systems | Health/Medicine | Europe | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016Placing a Bet: New Therapy for Parkinson's Disease
This module is intended for use by business school students. It examines the decision-making process …
This module is intended for use by business school students. It examines the decision-making process at a pharmaceutical company as its chief operating officer decides whether to invest in the development and licensing of a promising treatment for Parkinson’s disease. The module is structured around a drug development case that provides students with opportunities to: (1) analyze a rich and realistic description of the complex scientific and medical results associated with a promising therapeutic molecule…
Test Performance | North America | Global | Technology Assessment | Chronic Disease/Risk | Policy/Regulation | Business/Industry | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleWeb Portal, Teaching Resource 2016Educational Module: Forensic Pattern Recognition
This module uses latent print (fingerprint) identification as a case study of the broader category …
This module uses latent print (fingerprint) identification as a case study of the broader category of forensic pattern recognition evidence. The case of forensic pattern recognition evidence is meant, in turn, to be a case study of the broader issue of the interaction between science and law and policy. The case of fingerprinting identification poses challenging questions for legal professionals and policy-makers. Although fingerprint identification is one of the most widely used and widely trusted…
Probability/Bayes | North America | Global | Decision Theory | Decision Analysis | Policy/Regulation | Government/Law | Science/Technology | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Decision Making/Leadership | Quantitative Literacy -
Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2020Resource Pack: SSB Excise Tax Briefs (CHOICES)
Rising rates of obesity represent one of the greatest public health threats facing the United …
Rising rates of obesity represent one of the greatest public health threats facing the United States. Obesity has been linked to excess consumption of sugary drinks. Federal, state, and local governments have considered implementing excise taxes on sugary drinks to reduce consumption, reduce obesity, and provide a new source of government revenue. This resource pack includes a series of briefs describing analyses conducted by the Childhood Obesity Intervention Cost-Effectiveness Study (CHOICES), evaluating the health and economic impact…
North America | Health Outcomes | Microsimulation | Cost-Effectiveness Analysis | Child/Nutrition | Chronic Disease/Risk | Social Determinants | Policy/Regulation | Business/Industry | Economics/Finance | Government/Law | Health/Medicine | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Decision Making/Leadership | Policy Translation | Quantitative Literacy -
Lesson/ModuleVideo, Teaching Resource 2018Evidence Synthesis Part I: Systematic Literature Review
This video is intended to provide researchers with an introduction to the first part of …
This video is intended to provide researchers with an introduction to the first part of conducting a meta-analysis: a systematic literature review. The goal of this meta-analysis is to synthesize multiple published estimates from parameters of interest (such as disease-related mortality or the efficacy of a treatment) into a single input for use in a decision model. This video is part of the Conducting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with VA Data (HCEA) free course offered by the…
North America | Evidence Synthesis | Mathematical Models | Health/Medicine | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Quantitative Literacy