Resources Repository
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Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2023Resource Pack: Diagnostic Tests, Bayes, and COVID-19
This resource pack provides a curated set of articles, perspectives, and interactives about diagnostic testing …
This resource pack provides a curated set of articles, perspectives, and interactives about diagnostic testing for COVID-19. The pack provides materials that will be particularly useful for educators who are teaching diagnostic test performance, value of information, and probability revision using Bayes’ theorem. The majority of papers focus on PCR or rapid antigen testing on samples obtained from the respiratory tract by nasopharyngeal swab. The mechanism of false negative results (e.g., timing of sample collection…
Probability/Bayes | Test Performance | Value of Information | Decision Analysis | Health/Medicine | Science/Technology | Global | High School | College | Graduate | Doctoral | Professional | Critical Thinking/Analysis | Graphics/Visualization | Quantitative Literacy -
Resource PackPublication, Teaching Resource 2022Resource Pack: Expressing Probability: Words or Numbers?
People interpret verbal expressions of probabilities (e.g. “very likely”) in different ways, yet words are …
People interpret verbal expressions of probabilities (e.g. “very likely”) in different ways, yet words are commonly preferred to numbers when communicating uncertainty. This resource pack is a collection of articles, tools, and media focused on how we estimate and communicate uncertainty and probability. Many of the resources were chosen to specifically highlight the correlation between qualitative expressions (terms or phrases) of probability such as "likely," “almost certainly,” “very unlikely,” “infrequently,” etc. We included select classic…