Validating a Cardiovascular Disease Microsimulation Model


This paper examines a cardiovascular disease model used to evaluate prevention and treatment of the disease. The authors perform a calibration and validation process, in which simulated results were compared to observed all-cause and CVD-specific mortality data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Comparison was conducted using survival curves and ROC curves.



Pandya A, Sy S, Cho S, Alam S, Weinstein MC, Gaziano TA. Validation of a Cardiovascular Disease Policy Microsimulation Model Using Both Survival and Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves. Medical Decision Making 2017; 37 (7): 802-814.

Not open access.