Bibliography: Building Decision Trees

This multimedia segment, Part 1. Revisiting a Father’s Decision in 1736, includes two videos. Students look back to revisit a decision that Benjamin Franklin had to make in 1736, in the context of smallpox epidemics coming every couple of years to Boston or Philadelphia, about whether he should inoculate his child. In addition to the videos, materials include an instructor's note, companion slides, a glossary, an annotated bibliography, and sample exercises. After identifying the elements of…

This sample exercise and solution set supports the teaching pack on Building Decision Trees, in which students learn how to structure the elements (e.g., objectives, alternatives, probabilities, and outcomes) of a problem into a decision tree model, conduct a baseline analysis of the expected value of different alternatives, assess the value of perfect information, and perform sensitivity analyses. In addition to the sample exercise, material include an instructor's note, videos, companion slides, a glossary, and…

This multimedia segment, Part 2. Mosquito-Borne Threat, includes three videos. In addition to the videos, materials include an instructor's note, companion slides, a glossary, an annotated bibliography, and sample exercises. A hypothetical outbreak of a mosquito borne viral infection results in a risk of encephalitis. Students are asked to assume the role of running a department of a health in a city of 100,000 people. They are provided data on the risk of an epidemic, probability…