How We Decide

This book presents Bayes' rule to the general reader, providing a riveting account of an idea that has generated controversy in statistics and probability theory for over two hundred years. The rule is described in basic terms as a theorem using prior knowledge to enhance the probability of an event in conditions of uncertainty and scant information. The book explores Baye’s rule from its 18th century origins to the present, chronicling its emergence from 150…

This book is an essential reference work on the science of decision-making and a key resource for students and scholars in a wide range of fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business. It addresses questions about how we think, what keeps up from thinking in certain ways, and how we can improve our thinking to make better decisions. This edition covers the origin and development of the field’s fundamental concepts and improves upon earlier editions…

This book by Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman explains two systems of thinking: one fast, intuitive, and emotional, and the other slow, deliberative, and logical. Kahneman explains how these systems shape our judgments and decisions, using examples ranging from corporate strategies to vacation planning. The book provides practical and enlightening insights to help people make good choices, including when to trust intuition, how to tap into the benefits of slow thinking, and what techniques can…